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IN THE BUBBLE JOHN THACKARA - witz cultural

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206 Chapter 9<br />

Pervasive computing technologies promise to transform the ways we ex-<br />

perience and live in the world. But did anyone ask our permission to ‘‘produce<br />

answers before they are required’’? Have we debated the consequences<br />

of proactive computing? No, we have not. In its Scenarios for Ambient Intelligence<br />

in 2010, the European Union is not much more thoughtful. This key<br />

document outlines a vision of ‘‘convergence’’ as a point at which ‘‘the<br />

human is surrounded by computing and advanced networking technology<br />

which is aware of his presence, his personality, his needs—and is capable of<br />

responding intelligently to spoken or gestured indications of desire, and<br />

even in engaging in intelligent dialogue.’’ The AmI landscape, as it’s known<br />

in Euro-speak, is embedded, personalized, adaptive, and anticipatory. It provides<br />

‘‘an evolutionary path from current modes of human behaviour to<br />

new behaviours that benefit from AmI enhancement.’’ The dominant<br />

mode of communication is laid-back, rather than lean-forward, concludes<br />

the document, with great confidence. 65<br />

The problem with these visions is that they are based on one implausible<br />

assumption and one plain wrong assumption. The implausible assumption<br />

is that all people, and all systems, will perform optimally at all times. No<br />

technology has ever done that, and none ever will. Even if 99.9 percent of<br />

the smart tags, sensors, smart materials, connected appliances, wearable<br />

computing, and (soon) implants that are now being unleashed upon the<br />

world work as instructed—what about the millions that, inevitably, will<br />

fail, or run amok? As my water-filled bag testifies, when human beings issue<br />

instructions to devices, the results are not always benign.<br />

The plain-wrong assumption is that we know what the consequences of<br />

these new technologies will be. We know, for a fact, that technology always<br />

has unexpected as well as expected consequences.<br />

People Will Always Be Smarter<br />

The worst-case scenario is the most likely: that smart technology will<br />

be used in dumb ways, for the wrong reasons, with irritating if not disastrous<br />

results. I recently purchased a train ticket from Amsterdam to<br />

S<strong>witz</strong>erland—a ten-hour, four-train journey. A pleasant and expert woman<br />

at the ticket desk, in Amsterdam Central Station, helped me select the best<br />

route. It was a complicated transaction, but she was an expert intermediary<br />

between me and the various databases and websites that needed to be con-

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