Annual Energy Outlook 2006 with Projections to 2030 - Usinfo.org

Table E1. Summary of the AEO2006 cases (continued)NEMS Overview and Brief Description of CasesCase nameTransportation:High TechnologyTransportation:Alternative CAFEIntegrated2005 TechnologyIntegratedHigh TechnologyElectricity: AdvancedNuclear CostElectricity: NuclearVendor EstimateElectricity: Low FossilTechnologyElectricity: High FossilTechnologyElectricity: MercuryControl TechnologiesRenewables:Low RenewablesRenewables:High RenewablesOil and Gas:Slow TechnologyOil and Gas:Rapid TechnologyOil and Gas: Low LNGDescriptionReduced costs and improved efficiencies assumed foradvanced technologies. Partial projection tables inAppendix D.Assumes that manufacturers adhere to the proposedfleetwide increases in light truck CAFE standards to 24miler per gallon for model year 2011.Combination of the residential, commercial, industrial,and transportation 2005 technology cases, electricity lowfossil technology case, and assumption of renewabletechnologies fixed at 2005 levels. Partial projection tablesin Appendix D.Combination of the residential, commercial, industrial,and transportation high technology cases, electricity highfossil technology case, high renewables case, andadvanced nuclear cost case. Partial projection tables inAppendix D.New nuclear capacity assumed to have 20 percent lowercapital and operating costs in 2030 than in the referencecase. Partial projection tables in Appendix D.New nuclear capacity assumed to have lower capitalcosts based on vendor goals. Partial projection tables inAppendix D.New advanced fossil generating technologies assumednot to improve over time from 2006. Partial projectiontables in Appendix D.Costs and efficiencies for advanced fossil-fired generatingtechnologies improve by 10 percent in 2030 fromreference case values. Partial projection tables inAppendix D.Cost and performance for halogenated activated carboninjection technology used to determine its impact onmercury removal requirements from coal-fired powerplants.New renewable generating technologies assumed not toimprove over time from 2006. Partial projection tables inAppendix D.Levelized cost of energy for nonhydropower renewablegenerating technologies declines by 10 percent in 2030from reference case values. Lower capital cost forcellulose ethanol plants. Partial projection tables inAppendix D.Cost, finding rate, and success rate parameters adjustedfor 50-percent slower improvement than in the referencecase. Partial projection tables in Appendix D.Cost, finding rate, and success rate parameters adjustedfor 50-percent more rapid improvement than in thereference case. Partial projection tables in Appendix D.LNG imports exogenously set to 30 percent less thanthe results from the high price case, with remainingassumptions from the reference case. Partial projectiontables in Appendix D.IntegrationmodeReferencein textReference inAppendix EStandalone p. 76 p. 208Standalone p. 24 p. 208FullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedFullyintegratedp. 60 —p. 60 —p. 84 p. 208p. 84 p. 208p. 83 p. 209p. 83 p. 208p. 59 p. 209p. 84 p. 209p. 84 p. 209p. 88 p. 210p. 88 p. 209p. 90 p. 210Energy Information Administration / Annual Energy Outlook 2006 205