Annual Energy Outlook 2006 with Projections to 2030 - Usinfo.org

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ContentsFigures (Continued)Page60. Additions of renewable generating capacity, 2004-2030 ..................................... 7961. Levelized and avoided costs for new renewable plants in the Northwest, 2015 and 2030 ........... 8062. Electricity generation by fuel, 2004 and 2030. ............................................. 8063. Grid-connected electricity generation from renewable energy sources, 1980-2030 ................ 8164. Nonhydroelectric renewable electricity generation by energy source, 2004-2030 ................. 8165. Fuel prices to electricity generators, 1995-2030 ............................................ 8266. Average U.S. retail electricity prices, 1970-2030 ........................................... 8267. Cumulative new generating capacity by technology type in three economic growth cases,2004-2030 .......................................................................... 8368. Cumulative new generating capacity by technology type in three fossil fuel technology cases,2004-2030 .......................................................................... 8369. Levelized electricity costs for new plants by fuel type in two nuclear cost cases, 2015 and 2030 ..... 8470. Nonhydroelectric renewable electricity generation by energy source in three cases, 2010 and 2030 . . 8471. Natural gas consumption by sector, 1990-2030 ............................................ 8572. Increases in natural gas consumption by Census division, 2004-2030 .......................... 8573. Natural gas production by source, 1990-2030. ............................................. 8674. Net U.S. imports of natural gas by source, 1990-2030 ....................................... 8675. Lower 48 natural gas wellhead prices, 1990-2030 .......................................... 8776. Natural gas prices by end-use sector, 1990-2030 ........................................... 8777. Lower 48 natural gas wellhead prices in three technology cases, 1990-2030 ..................... 8878. Natural gas production and net imports in three technology cases, 1990-2030 ................... 8879. Lower 48 natural gas wellhead prices in three price cases, 1990-2030 .......................... 8980. Net imports of liquefied natural gas in three price cases, 1990-2030 ........................... 8981. Net imports of liquefied natural gas in three LNG supply cases, 1990-2030 ..................... 9082. Lower 48 natural gas wellhead prices in three LNG supply cases, 1990-2030 .................... 9083. World oil prices in the reference case, 1990-2030 ........................................... 9184. Domestic crude oil production by source, 1990-2030 ........................................ 9185. World oil prices in three cases, 1990-2030. ................................................ 9286. Total U.S. petroleum production in three price cases, 1990-2030 .............................. 9287. U.S. syncrude production from oil shale in the high price case, 2004-2030 ...................... 9388. Total U.S. crude oil production in three technology cases, 1990-2030 .......................... 9389. Alaskan oil production in the reference and ANWR cases, 1990-2030 .......................... 9490. U.S. net imports of oil in the reference and ANWR cases, 1990-2030. .......................... 9491. Consumption of petroleum products, 1990-2030 ........................................... 9592. Domestic refinery distillation capacity, 1990-2030. ......................................... 9593. U.S. petroleum product demand and domestic petroleum supply, 1990-2030 .................... 9694. Components of retail gasoline prices, 2004, 2015, and 2030 .................................. 9695. U.S. ethanol fuel consumption in three price cases, 1995-2030. ............................... 9796. Coal-to-liquids and gas-to-liquids production in two price cases, 2004-2030 ..................... 9797. Coal production by region, 1970-2030 .................................................... 9898. Distribution of domestic coal by demand and supply region, 2003 and 2030 ..................... 9899. U.S. coal mine employment by region, 1970-2030 .......................................... 99100. Average minemouth price of coal by region, 1990-2030 ...................................... 99101. Changes in regional coal transportation rates, 2010, 2025, and 2030. .......................... 100102. U.S. coal exports and imports, 1970-2030 ................................................. 100103. Electricity and other coal consumption, 1970-2030 ......................................... 101104. Coal consumption in the industrial and buildings sectors and at coal-to-liquids plants,2004, 2015, and 2030 ................................................................. 101105. Projected variation from the reference case projection of U.S. total coal demand in four cases,2030 ............................................................................... 102106. Average delivered coal prices in three cost cases, 1990-2030. ................................. 102107. Carbon dioxide emissions by sector and fuel, 2004 and 2030 ................................. 103108. Carbon dioxide emissions in three economic growth cases, 1990-2030 .......................... 103vi Energy Information Administration / Annual Energy Outlook 2006
ContentsFigures (Continued)Page109. Carbon dioxide emissions in three technology cases, 2004, 2020, and 2030 ...................... 104110. Sulfur dioxide emissions from electricity generation, 1990-2030 .............................. 104111. Nitrogen oxide emissions from electricity generation, 1990-2030. ............................. 105112. Mercury emissions from electricity generation, 1995-2030 ................................... 105Energy Information Administration / Annual Energy Outlook 2006vii
Page 1 and 2: DOE/EIA-0383(2006)February 2006Annu
Page 3 and 4: DOE/EIA-0383(2006)Annual Energy Out
Page 5 and 6: ContentsPageOverview ..............
Page 7: ContentsFigures (Continued)Page11.
Page 12 and 13: OverviewEnergy Trends to 2030The En
Page 14 and 15: Overviewlong-term average oil price
Page 16 and 17: Overviewcubic feet in 2004 to 27.0
Page 18 and 19: Overviewfrom 789 billion kilowattho
Page 20 and 21: Overviewprojected to be built to se
Page 23 and 24: Legislation andRegulations
Page 25 and 26: Legislation and Regulationsand inst
Page 27 and 28: Legislation and RegulationsIndustri
Page 29 and 30: Legislation and RegulationsIn addit
Page 31 and 32: Legislation and Regulationsland wil
Page 33 and 34: Legislation and RegulationsTable 2.
Page 35 and 36: Legislation and Regulations• Unde
Page 37 and 38: Legislation and RegulationsProjects
Page 39 and 40: Legislation and Regulationsplants w
Page 41 and 42: Issues in Focus
Page 43 and 44: Issues in Focusworld oil price incr
Page 45 and 46: Issues in Focusand equipment will r
Page 47 and 48: Issues in FocusAEO2006 Price CasesT
Page 49 and 50: Issues in Focusbase in the high pri
Page 51 and 52: Issues in Focusin gasification unit
Page 53 and 54: Issues in Focusrevolutionize transp
Page 55 and 56: Issues in Focussynthesis gas. Any o
Page 57 and 58: Issues in Focusenvironmental impact
Page 59 and 60:
Issues in Focussubstantial incremen
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Issues in FocusMarket penetration o
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Issues in FocusAccording to most an
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Issues in FocusThere are two leadin
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Issues in Focuscost reductions are
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Issues in Focusthe early years of t
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Market TrendsThe projections in AEO
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Trends in Economic ActivityOutput G
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Energy DemandAverage Energy Use per
Page 77 and 78:
Residential Sector Energy DemandDem
Page 79 and 80:
Commercial Sector Energy DemandEcon
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Industrial Sector Energy DemandAdva
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Industrial Sector Energy DemandEner
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Transportation Sector Energy Demand
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Electricity Demand and SupplyContin
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Electricity SupplyEPACT2005 Tax Cre
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Electricity From Renewable SourcesT
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Electricity Alternative CasesFaster
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Natural Gas DemandIncreases in Natu
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Natural Gas PricesProjected Natural
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Natural Gas Alternative CasesNatura
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Oil Prices and ProductionOil Prices
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Oil Price and Technology CasesU.S.
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Refined Petroleum ProductsTransport
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Ethanol and Synthetic FuelsU.S. Dem
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Coal Mine Employment and Coal Price
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Coal ConsumptionCoal-Fired Generato
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Carbon Dioxide EmissionsHigher Ener
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Nitrogen Oxide and Mercury Emission
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Forecast ComparisonsOnly GII produc
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Forecast Comparisonsconsumption and
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Forecast ComparisonsNatural GasPubl
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Forecast Comparisonsproviding about
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Forecast Comparisonsrefiners acquis
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Forecast Comparisonsconsumption. In
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Notes and SourcesText NotesLegislat
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Notes and Sources[48]These costs re
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Notes and SourcesTable Notes and So
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Notes and SourcesFigure 28. Energy
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Notes and SourcesFigure 81. Net imp
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Appendixes
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Reference Case
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Appendix BEconomic Growth Case Comp
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Economic Growth Case Comparisons
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Price Case Comparisons
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Appendix DResults from Side Cases
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Results from Side Cases
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NEMS Overview and Brief Description
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Appendix FRegional MapsEnergy Infor
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Regional Maps Energy Information
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Regional Maps Energy Information Ad
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Regional MapsEnergy Information Adm
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The Energy Information Administrati
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