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Preprint volume - SIBM

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Pre-print Volume –Oral presentations<br />

Topic 4: THE ELASMOBRANCHS<br />

kilograms live weight) and divided into three categories: “Asià” (all sharks but<br />

Scyliorhinus spp.); “Gattucci” (Scyliorhinus spp.); “Razze” (all skates). Landings of<br />

1945-2008 were compared with annual mean sea water temperature at 2 m depth in<br />

Trieste; annual mean Po river discharge (m 3 s -1 ) at Pontelagoscuro (Ferrara); the annual<br />

mean North Atlantic Oscillation index (NAO), positively correlated to surface<br />

temperature in the NA; the December to February Western Mediterranean Oscillation<br />

index (WeMO), related to temperature and salinity in the NA.Time series of landings<br />

and environmental variables were tested for temporal trends with the non-parametric<br />

Mann-Kendall test (Z), and slopes computed with Sen’s robust estimator. Inter-annual<br />

landing periodicities were identified through spectral analysis based on Fast Fourier<br />

transform. Correlations between environmental variables (lagged and non-lagged) and<br />

the three landing categories were tested with Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient rs<br />

after applying Bonferroni correction. At the fish market a total of 79 samplings were<br />

performed once or twice a week from October 2006 to July 2007. Catch composition<br />

(species) was estimated; sex was assessed (based on the presence of claspers); total<br />

length was measured to the nearest mm; the percentage of sexually mature males was<br />

estimated (those presenting claspers rigid, due to calcification, and at least 1.5 cm<br />

longer than the pelvic fins). This method, the only feasible given that fish market<br />

elasmobranchs are eviscerated, can overestimate the number of mature males (Capapé<br />

et al., 2008; Saïdi et al., 2008). To simulate present trends of populations, an<br />

Individual-Based Model (IBM) was set up to simulate present and future trends of M.<br />

mustelus and S. canicula, using a stochastic approach (Rose et al. 1999). For each<br />

female specimen, at each time step (month), the following processes have been<br />

simulated: growth, with the VBGF (parameters from Froese and Pauly, 2010);<br />

reproduction (data from Capape’ et al., 2008; Saidi et al., 2008); natural mortality (data<br />

from Frisk et al., 2001); fishing mortality (data inferred by best fitting between<br />

observed trends in the last 10 years, when Mustelus species are categorized in a<br />

separate group than other sharks, and simulated population trends). Population<br />

dynamics has been inferred by simulating every single specimen and relative offspring<br />

for 50 years. Uncertainty has been estimated averaging 20 runs of the model. Two<br />

management scenarios have been considered: a “minimum catch size” scenario, where<br />

it was assumed that any individual caught before maturity is discarded and survives;<br />

and a day-off scenario, where the fishing effort was recalculated assuming that<br />

fishermen work just for 4 days at week instead of 5.<br />

Results - Elasmobranch landing declined significantly from 1945 to 2008 (Z = -6.90, p<br />

< 0.0001, Sen’s slope = -1 755.9 kg y -1 , Fig. 1), with a reduction of 85.6% in the last<br />

five years compared to the ‘40s. Skates showed the most dramatic reduction, 97.9% (Z<br />

= -8.44, p < 0.0001, Sen’s slope = -1 584.6 kg y -1 ), while Scyliorhinus spp. showed a<br />

reduction of 93.8% compared to the ’40s (Z = -6.50, p < 0.0001, Sen’s slope = -268.4<br />

kg y -1 ). The category “Asià”, including all the other sharks, showed a weak increase (Z<br />

= 3.68, p < 0.001, Sen’s slope = 303.2 kg y -1 ), but a strong decline after 1993 (Z = -<br />

3.51, p < 0.001, Sen’s slope = -1 947.9 kg y -1 ). All the three categories exhibited<br />

periodic peaks in landings during 1945-2008. Spectral analyses highlighted a principal<br />

period of 7 years for skates, 13.5 for Scyliorhinus spp. and 9 for “Asià”. For skates and<br />

Scyliorhinus spp., oscillations disappeared when landing decreased consistently.<br />

Landing peaks of skates correlated with WeMO (rs = 0.38, p = 0.0019) and NAO (rs =<br />

41 st S.I.B.M. CONGRESS Rapallo (GE), 7-11 June 2010<br />

199

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