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The University of California Libraries: A Plan for Development (1977)

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VIII. Acquisition and Processing 125<br />

more important to an educational enterprise than a student, a<br />

teacher, a patient, and an effective library. We certainly lack<br />

the library. I hope that you will do everything in your power<br />

to improve this situation. 8<br />

Campus. <strong>The</strong> report <strong>of</strong> the Library Policy Task Force specified<br />

that "each campus should have a collection which, in conjunction<br />

with the other elements <strong>of</strong> the <strong>University</strong> library system, is fully<br />

adequate to support the programs <strong>of</strong> instruction and research approved<br />

<strong>for</strong> the campus." 9 <strong>The</strong> extent to which this goal is met by collec-<br />

tions housed locally, as opposed to material supplied "in conjunction<br />

with the other elements <strong>of</strong> the <strong>University</strong> library system," is defined<br />

in this plan as all materials needed within 24 hours. To some extent,<br />

whether a particular item is likely to be needed within this time<br />

frame can be predicted in advance. Fussler and Simon, <strong>for</strong> example,<br />

have shown that past circulation is a reliable indicator <strong>of</strong> future<br />

demand, and that where there is no record <strong>of</strong> past use, "rules that<br />

take into account both language and publication or accession date are<br />

most efficient.” 10 For works not yet purchased, Weeks has indi-<br />

cated that language (and to some extent, publisher) may also be reliable<br />

predictors. 11 Advance prediction <strong>of</strong> the demand <strong>for</strong> partic-<br />

ular items is necessarily a matter <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>essional judgment (and<br />

some guesswork), but Buckland has pointed out that "the penalty <strong>for</strong><br />

individual erroneous predictions is quite small." 12 If despite<br />

8<br />

Letter from Donald G. Langsley, M.D. to Dr. Merjan Merala, June<br />

13, 1974.<br />

9<br />

Report <strong>of</strong> the Library Policy Task Force, <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Cali<strong>for</strong>nia</strong><br />

Library Policy to 1980-81, p. 2. Italics supplied.<br />

10<br />

Herman H. Fussler and Julian L. Simon, Patterns in the Use <strong>of</strong><br />

Books in Large Research <strong>Libraries</strong>, <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> Chicago Press,<br />

1969, p. 143.<br />

11<br />

Ken Weeks, Determination <strong>of</strong> Pre-Acquisition Predictors <strong>of</strong><br />

Book Use, <strong>University</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Cali<strong>for</strong>nia</strong>, Institute <strong>of</strong> Library Research,<br />

1973, p. 19.<br />

12<br />

Michael K. Buckland, Book Availability and the Library User,<br />

Pergamon Press, 1975, p. 105.

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