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The University of California Libraries: A Plan for Development (1977)

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X. Housing 167<br />

that are meant. However, as noted earlier in this chapter, there is<br />

some evidence that the likelihood <strong>of</strong> future use may be predicted with<br />

a reasonable degree <strong>of</strong> accuracy on the basis <strong>of</strong> the date <strong>of</strong> last recorded<br />

circulation. For the purposes <strong>of</strong> calculating the costs and<br />

potential savings <strong>of</strong> this alternative, then, it was assumed that works<br />

which had not circulated within the last 12 years would be discarded<br />

when there was no longer sufficient space to house them in existing<br />

campus facilities. Using the statistics on circulation history gathered<br />

from each campus, and the data on existing space available, the number<br />

<strong>of</strong> volumes that would be weeded under this alternative was projected to<br />

the year 1987/88, and is shown in Table 31. By the end <strong>of</strong> the 10-year<br />

period, as indicated, a total <strong>of</strong> 5,758,000 volumes would have been<br />

discarded.<br />

<strong>The</strong> costs <strong>of</strong> the weeding process itself include identifying materials<br />

in the appropriate categories and changing the bibliographic<br />

records to reflect the fact that the library no longer owns them.<br />

For the purposes <strong>of</strong> the model, these costs are estimated at $1.00 per<br />

volume, and the cost <strong>of</strong> the weeding process is there<strong>for</strong>e $5,758,000.<br />

Some additional campus construction would have to take place during<br />

the next 10 years to house those items that do not fall into the categories<br />

to be weeded, and the cost <strong>of</strong> this construction must there<strong>for</strong>e<br />

be added to the cost <strong>of</strong> this alternative. <strong>The</strong> total cost <strong>of</strong> the<br />

weeding alternative over the 10-year period is thus estimated at<br />

$44,558,000, a savings over the "base case" <strong>of</strong> $44,842,000.<br />

At this point, however, a second serious problem with the weeding<br />

alternative must be considered. Any method <strong>of</strong> selecting or<br />

discarding materials that is purely automatic--i.e., that does not<br />

allow <strong>for</strong> the exercise <strong>of</strong> judgment--runs a serious risk that important<br />

errors will be made. A famous case in point arose from a seemingly<br />

sensible dictum laid down by Sir Thomas Bodley when he<br />

established the famous Bodleian Library at Ox<strong>for</strong>d in 1611: that when<br />

"better editions" <strong>of</strong> a work appeared, the earlier editions should "be<br />

clean made away, as being wholly superfluous." Un<strong>for</strong>tunately, the<br />

Bodleian Librarian, in following this regulation to the letter, disposed<br />

<strong>of</strong> the Shakespeare First Folio when the library acquired the

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