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Hurricanes: Their Nature and Impacts on Society - Climate Science ...

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CHAYrER8<br />

8.1 FROM KNOWLEDGE TO ACnON<br />

One of the most important c<strong>on</strong>sequences of extreme hurricanes like Andrew<br />

will likely be the less<strong>on</strong>s learned regarding the strengths <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> weaknesses of<br />

existing societal resp<strong>on</strong>ses to hurricanes. In general, however, the identificati<strong>on</strong><br />

of less<strong>on</strong>s <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> their applicati<strong>on</strong> are difficult challenges. That difficulty was<br />

exposed following a workshop held in the aftermath of Andrew to develop<br />

recommendati<strong>on</strong>s for Dade County building codes <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> building code enforcement<br />

(FDCA 1992). Securing recommended changes has proven difficult.<br />

You might think local governments would see this risk <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> hurry to mend their<br />

ways to better protect their citizens. But you would be wr<strong>on</strong>g. In April 1993 -<br />

more than seven m<strong>on</strong>ths after Hurricane Andrew -the Dade County (Florida)<br />

Metro Commissi<strong>on</strong> voted to postp<strong>on</strong>e making the recommended improvements<br />

in its code <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> enforcement techniques. And almost 10 years after Hurricane<br />

Alicia, we are still trying to persuade Texas legislators to adopt the latest<br />

building code, never mind enforce it. (Mulady 1994)<br />

The less<strong>on</strong> drawn here is that following Andrew, even with numerous clear<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> specific less<strong>on</strong>s, drawn <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> publicized in numerous reports <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> assessments,<br />

effective policy change is difficult to achieve. The challenge is to use<br />

the less<strong>on</strong>s from Andrew <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> other disasters to improve preparedness in Dade<br />

County <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> elsewhere, before similar tragedies occur. Future Andrews will<br />

certainly strike, the central policy questi<strong>on</strong> that must be addressed is: How can<br />

we reduce our vulnerability through becoming better prepared?<br />

One way to improve preparedness would be for agents of change to put<br />

forth a well thought out plan in the immediate aftermath of a disaster. As we<br />

have seen, a disaster or extreme event opens a "window of opportunity" for<br />

change (Ungar 1995). The window does not stay open for very l<strong>on</strong>g -so<strong>on</strong><br />

follows "a prol<strong>on</strong>ged limbo -a twilight realm of lesser attenti<strong>on</strong> or spasmodic<br />

recurrences of interest" (Downs 1972). C<strong>on</strong>sequently, those with an interest in<br />

improving policy outcomes with respect to hurricanes ought to have a plan of<br />

acti<strong>on</strong> ready for when c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s do become favorable for policy change. This<br />

means that efforts of hurricane policy advocates will be enhanced with an

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