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Hurricanes: Their Nature and Impacts on Society - Climate Science ...

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VI<br />

CONTENfS<br />

2.3 Assessment of Vulnerability to <str<strong>on</strong>g>Hurricanes</str<strong>on</strong>g>.<br />

59<br />

2.3.1 Tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e risk assessment<br />

59<br />

2.3.2 Societal vulnerability to tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>es: a<br />

framework for assessment.<br />

64<br />

2.3.3 Incidence assessment ..<br />

65<br />

2.3.4 Exposure assessment .I .<br />

65<br />

CHAPTER 3 Tropical Cycl<strong>on</strong>es <strong>on</strong> Planet Earth ..<br />

3.1 Life of a Hurricane.<br />

3.1.1 Birth ~d growth .I .<br />

3.1.3 3.1.2 Decay. Maturity.<br />

3.1.4 Criteria for development <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> intensificati<strong>on</strong> of a<br />

tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e<br />

3.2 Special Cases of Development <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Intensificati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

3.3 Geographic <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Seas<strong>on</strong>al Distributi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

3.3.1 Origin .<br />

3.3.2 Movement.<br />

3.3.3 Tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>es in the Atlantic Ocean Basin<br />

CHAPTER 4 Hurricane Forecasts .I .<br />

4.1 Tropical Cycl<strong>on</strong>e Movement. ..<br />

4.2 External Flow: The Steering Current.<br />

4.3 Interacti<strong>on</strong> of the Steering Current <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

Hurricane<br />

4.4 Internal Flow.<br />

4.5 Tropical Cycl<strong>on</strong>e Track, Intensity, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Seas<strong>on</strong>al<br />

Forecasting.<br />

4.5.1 Tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e track predicti<strong>on</strong>s .<br />

4.5.2 Tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e intensity change predicti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

4.5.3 Seas<strong>on</strong>al predicti<strong>on</strong>s of tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e activity<br />

4.5.4 Attempts at tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e modificati<strong>on</strong><br />

4.5.5 Value to society of forecasts<br />

CHAPTER 5 Hurricane <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impacts</str<strong>on</strong>g>. ...<br />

5.1 Ocean <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impacts</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

5.2 L<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Impacts</str<strong>on</strong>g> at the Coast <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> a Short Distance<br />

Inl<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

5.2.1 Storm surge ...<br />

Storm surge analysis<br />

5.2.2 .<br />

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