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Hurricanes: Their Nature and Impacts on Society - Climate Science ...

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INTRODUcrION: SCIENCE, POLICY, AND HURRICANES<br />

Fran (1996) in North Carolina seem to support the AMS warning. Although<br />

casualties associated with these storms were relatively low, they provide<br />

visceral evidence that the hurricane remains a "melancholy event".<br />

1.3.1 The hurricane as an extreme meteorological event<br />

The hurricane, <strong>on</strong>e of the most powerful natural phenomena <strong>on</strong> the face of<br />

the Earth, is a member of a broader class of phenomena called cycl<strong>on</strong>es (see<br />

Anthes (1982), Dunn <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Miller (1964), Elsberry et al. (1987), <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Simps<strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Riehl (1981)). The term "cycl<strong>on</strong>e" refers to any weather system that<br />

circulates in a counterclockwise directi<strong>on</strong> in the Northern Hemisphere <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> in<br />

a clockwise directi<strong>on</strong> in the Southern Hemisphere. "Tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>es" form<br />

over ocean waters of the tropics (the area <strong>on</strong> the Earth's surface between the<br />

Tropic of Capricorn <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the Tropic of Cancer, 23 degrees 27 minutes south<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> north of the Equator, respectively) <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> subtropical waters, <strong>on</strong> occasi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Extratropical cycl<strong>on</strong>es, for comparis<strong>on</strong>, form as a result of the temperature<br />

c<strong>on</strong>trast between the colder air at higher latitudes <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> warmer air closer to the<br />

Equator. Extratropical storms form over both the ocean <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> l<str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g>.<br />

The meteorological community uses a number of terms to classify the<br />

various stages in the life cycle of tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>es (adapted from Neumann<br />

1993; Neumann, Jarvinen <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> Pike 1987). In this book, we adopt the definiti<strong>on</strong>s<br />

of tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>es as used in the Atlantic Ocean basin.<br />

Tropical low A surface low-pressure system in the tropical latitudes.<br />

Tropical disturbance A tropical low <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> an associated cluster of thunderstorms<br />

which has, at most, <strong>on</strong>ly a weak surface wind<br />

circulati<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Tropical depressi<strong>on</strong> A tropical low with a wind circulati<strong>on</strong> of sustained 1minute<br />

surface winds of less than 34 knots (kt) (39 miles<br />

per hour (mph), 18 meters per sec<strong>on</strong>d (m/s) circulating<br />

around the center of the low). (Most countries use a 10minute<br />

average to define sustained winds. A knot (i.e. a<br />

nautical mile per hour) equals about 1.15 miles per<br />

hour. A nautical mile is the length of <strong>on</strong>e minute of arc<br />

of latitude.)<br />

Tropical stoOD A tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e with maximum sustained surface<br />

winds of 34 to less than 64 kt (39 to 74 mph, 18 to 33 m/s).<br />

Hurricane A tropical cycl<strong>on</strong>e with sustained surface winds 64 kt<br />

(74 mph, 33 m/s) or greater. (In the Pacific Ocean west<br />

of the Internati<strong>on</strong>al Date Line, hurricanes are called<br />

typho<strong>on</strong>s. They are the same phenomen<strong>on</strong>.)<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Hurricanes</str<strong>on</strong>g> are classified by their damage potential according to a scale<br />

developed in the 1970s by Robert Simps<strong>on</strong>, a meteorologist <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> director of

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