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Hurricanes: Their Nature and Impacts on Society - Climate Science ...

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TROPICAL CYCLONES ON PLANET EARTH<br />

(miles)<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80<br />

~ 10'-20 35'- 40'50 eb' 10 ~O 90' 100 II~ 120 'I~<br />

Radius from center ( km)<br />

of hurricane<br />

Figure 3.8 The structure as a functi<strong>on</strong> of distance from the storm center as approximated<br />

by averaging 16 profiles for Hurricane Anita <strong>on</strong> 2 September 1977. The<br />

temperature line illustrates the warm core of the hurricane. The eye wall is the z<strong>on</strong>e<br />

with the greatest sustained wind speeds <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> the str<strong>on</strong>gest averaged upward moti<strong>on</strong>.<br />

Source: Willoughby (1979)<br />

from the relati<strong>on</strong>ship illustrated in Figure 3.11. For instance, in two storms<br />

with identical central pressure, a larger storm will tend to have weaker winds<br />

than a small storm because the horiz<strong>on</strong>tal difference in pressure (which drives<br />

the winds) in the larger storm is generally spread over a greater distance.<br />

The deepest pressure, <str<strong>on</strong>g>and</str<strong>on</strong>g> hence maximum wind, that is possible in a<br />

hurricane is well correlated with ocean surface temperature (Miller 1958).<br />

Using the analogy of a heat engine, wind circulati<strong>on</strong> would be expected to be<br />

str<strong>on</strong>ger when the heating from the ocean is greater. A hurricane, for example,<br />

would not, in general, be expected where the ocean surface temperature was<br />

less than 79°F (26°C) (K. Emanuel of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology<br />

produces graphs of maximum expected hurricane intensity based <strong>on</strong> sea<br />

surface temperature, which are available <strong>on</strong> the www at http://grads.iges.org/<br />

pix/hurrpot.html). One of the lowest pressures ever observed in an Atlantic<br />

hurricane (892 mb) was in the Labor Day, Florida Keys Storm of 1935 in<br />

which 408 deaths occurred. If Hurricane Andrew (1992) had more time to<br />

intensify, then it could have had a significantly lower central pressure at<br />

77

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