22.03.2014 Views

Biological Opinions - Bureau of Reclamation

Biological Opinions - Bureau of Reclamation

Biological Opinions - Bureau of Reclamation

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Figure 11.9. Regression between EWA volume allocation and March through September NRCS<br />

reconstructed UKL inflow forecast volume.<br />

11.4.1.1.2 Annual Hydrograph<br />

When compared to the observed Keno hydrograph for the POR, the proposed action hydrograph<br />

at Keno trends towards the historic Keno hydrograph from 1905-1913 (Figure 11.4). When<br />

compared to the POR, peak flows under the proposed action will occur approximately two weeks<br />

closer to the historic peak flow at Keno (Figure 11.4). Overall, under the proposed action, water<br />

will be shifted from the fall and winter period to the spring and summer period resulting in<br />

enhanced spring flows, a more gradual receding limb <strong>of</strong> the hydrograph, and enhanced summer<br />

base flows compared to the observed POR hydrograph (Figures 11.4 and 11.5). This<br />

redistribution <strong>of</strong> water is important because the proposed action ultimately shifts more water to<br />

the critical spring and summer period for life history stages <strong>of</strong> coho salmon than observed in the<br />

POR. Consequently, the proposed action hydrograph at IGD trends towards the natural flow<br />

regime relative to the observed hydrograph at IGD for the POR, however both the proposed<br />

action and observed hydrographs have been reduced relative to the natural hydrograph (Figures<br />

11.4 and 11.5).<br />

Compared to the observed hydrograph for the POR at IGD, flows under the proposed action<br />

begin lower in the fall and winter period, peak later in the spring, and maintain higher flows<br />

during the spring and summer period (Figure 11.5). Additional patterns evident under the<br />

proposed action are enhanced flow variability in fall and winter, and increased spring and<br />

summer flows during the descending limb <strong>of</strong> the hydrograph relative to the POR (Figure 11.5<br />

and Appendix E). To illustrate these patterns also exist on an annual basis, NMFS compares the<br />

proposed action flows at IGD to the observed flows at IGD from March 2010 through September<br />

2011 (Figure 11.10). In October through February 2011, the proposed action results in increased<br />

flow variability and magnitude below IGD. Additionally, the proposed action results in a higher<br />

254

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!