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Biological Opinions - Bureau of Reclamation

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lake management (USFWS 2008), and with loss <strong>of</strong> access to Lower Klamath Lake, rearing<br />

habitat for the LRS and the SNS has been drastically reduced and degraded.<br />

7.8 PacifiCorp’s Hydroelectric Project on the Klamath River from Keno Dam to Iron<br />

Gate Dam<br />

Lake habitats that support sucker populations were created in the Klamath River as a result <strong>of</strong><br />

construction <strong>of</strong> four dams (J.C. Boyle, Copco 1, Copco 2, and Iron Gate) that comprise the<br />

PacifiCorp Klamath Hydroelectric Project. No lake habitat existed historically in the Klamath<br />

River below the Keno Reef, located upstream <strong>of</strong> the Keno Dam. LRS and SNS populations<br />

(mostly SNS) have expanded into these lake habitats, most likely from downstream drift <strong>of</strong><br />

larvae and juveniles from UKL (Desjardins and Markle 2000). Populations in the Klamath River<br />

hydropower reservoirs are small compared to those in UKL, Gerber Reservoir, and Clear Lake<br />

(USFWS 2002, 2007c). Factors affecting sucker populations in the Klamath River reservoirs are<br />

discussed in detail in the FERC BiOp for the proposed relicensing <strong>of</strong> the Klamath Hydroelectric<br />

Project (USFWS 2007c). The greatest threats to suckers in these reservoirs likely come from<br />

adverse water quality and nonnative fishes.<br />

7.9 Climate Change<br />

7.9.1 Western United States<br />

In the western United States, there is a strong link between climate and the availability <strong>of</strong> water<br />

resources. Surface water volume and recharge to groundwater are based primarily on winter<br />

precipitation and snowpack. Climate change effects caused by global warming began in the mid-<br />

20th Century and are continuing (Barnett et al. 2008, Christensen et al. 2004). The effects <strong>of</strong><br />

climate change between 1950 and 2000 include water shortages and changes in the timing <strong>of</strong><br />

run<strong>of</strong>f. The principal factors being (1) a shift to more winter precipitation falling as rain instead<br />

<strong>of</strong> snow in mountainous regions, (2) earlier snow melt as a result <strong>of</strong> warming winter<br />

temperatures, and (3) associated increases in river flow in the spring and decreases in the<br />

summer and fall (Barnett et al. 2008). Continuation <strong>of</strong> climate change is expected to<br />

significantly affect water resources in the western United States by the mid-21 st century, and<br />

evidence suggests that the Klamath Basin region’s climate is already changing (Hayes 2011).<br />

Climate change is generally predicted to result in increased air and water temperatures, decreased<br />

water quality, increased evapotranspiration rates, increased proportion <strong>of</strong> precipitation as rain<br />

instead <strong>of</strong> snow, earlier and shorter run<strong>of</strong>f seasons, and increased variability in precipitation<br />

patterns (<strong>Reclamation</strong> 2011). Several studies have shown declining snow-pack, earlier spring<br />

snowmelt, and earlier stream run<strong>of</strong>f in the western United States over the past few decades<br />

(Hamlet et al. 2005, Regonda et al. 2005, Stewart et al. 2005, Knowles et al. 2006). Winter<br />

precipitation and snow-pack are strongly correlated with streamflow in the Pacific Northwest<br />

(Leung and Wigmosta 2004).<br />

Increasing temperature is the major driver <strong>of</strong> these observed trends, particularly at the moderate<br />

elevations and relatively warm winter temperatures characteristic <strong>of</strong> the Pacific Northwest<br />

(Hamlet et al. 2005, Stewart et al. 2005). Temperatures are projected to continue increasing by<br />

approximately 0.36˚ F (0.2 ˚C) per decade globally for the next several decades (Meehl et al.<br />

2007).<br />

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