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Biological Opinions - Bureau of Reclamation

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ecome viable. Instead, a high risk <strong>of</strong> extinction indicates that the species faces significant risks<br />

from internal and external processes and threats that can drive a species to extinction. Therefore,<br />

NMFS’ jeopardy assessment focuses on whether a proposed action appreciably increases<br />

extinction risk, which is a surrogate for appreciable reduction in the likelihood <strong>of</strong> both the<br />

survival and recovery <strong>of</strong> a listed species in the wild.<br />

On the other hand, when listed species exposed to an action’s effects are not expected to<br />

experience adverse effects, NMFS would not expect the action to have adverse consequences on<br />

the extinction risk <strong>of</strong> the populations those individuals represent or the species those populations<br />

comprise (for example, see Anderson 2000, Mills and Beatty 1979, Stearns 1992). If NMFS<br />

concludes that listed species are not likely to be adversely affected, NMFS would conclude the<br />

assessment.<br />

12.1.1.1.1 Effects Analysis for the SONCC coho salmon ESU<br />

For the SONCC coho salmon ESU, the effects analysis is based on a bottom-up hierarchical<br />

organization <strong>of</strong> individual fish at the life stage scale, population, diversity stratum, and ESU<br />

(Figure 12.1). The guiding principle behind this effects analysis is that the viability <strong>of</strong> a species<br />

(e.g., ESU) is dependent on the viability <strong>of</strong> the diversity strata that compose that species; the<br />

viability <strong>of</strong> a diversity stratum is dependent on the viability <strong>of</strong> most independent populations that<br />

compose that stratum and the spatial distribution <strong>of</strong> those viable populations; and the viability <strong>of</strong><br />

the population is dependent on the fitness and survival <strong>of</strong> individuals at the life stage scale. The<br />

SONCC coho salmon ESU life cycle includes the following life stages and behaviors, which will<br />

be evaluated for potential effects resulting from the proposed action: adult migration, spawning,<br />

embryo incubation, juvenile rearing, and smolt outmigration.<br />

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