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Biological Opinions - Bureau of Reclamation

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Table 4.6. Fall/winter water management summary.<br />

Date Range<br />

October 1<br />

through<br />

November 15<br />

Condition<br />

All<br />

Common Adjustment<br />

Factors<br />

Variable Adjustment Factors<br />

Accretion Adjustment<br />

EWA Carryover Augmentation<br />

Accretion Adjustment<br />

November 16<br />

through 30<br />

December 1<br />

through<br />

February 28 or<br />

29<br />

Dry<br />

Average<br />

to Wet<br />

Dry<br />

Average<br />

to Wet<br />

Williamson River Proportion<br />

Williamson River Flow<br />

Yesterday<br />

Fill Rate Adjustment<br />

EWA Carryover Augmentation<br />

Fill Rate Adjustment<br />

EWA carryover augmentation<br />

Accretion Adjustment<br />

Fill Rate Adjustment<br />

Fill Rate Adjustment<br />

During fall/winter operations, a daily average Link River Dam target release will be calculated<br />

based on the above steps and equations. The daily average Link River Dam release will be<br />

translated into a daily IGD flow target based on (a) accretions from one week previously for the<br />

reach between Link River Dam and Keno Dam, and (b) real-time estimates <strong>of</strong> accretions<br />

between Keno Dam and IGD. Management operations are intended to predict flows at IGD<br />

approximately 1 week into the future or, stated differently, with a lead time <strong>of</strong> approximately 1<br />

week. Therefore, IGD target flows are proposed to be implemented approximately 1 week after<br />

flows are observed in the Williamson River. One week between observed flows at the<br />

Williamson River gage and when the flows occur at IGD is approximately the travel time for<br />

water to flow from the Williamson River gage to IGD under natural hydrologic conditions. The<br />

actual transit time will vary based on hydrologic conditions, magnitude <strong>of</strong> flow, and PacifiCorp’s<br />

reservoir and dam management operations. Assuming approximately 1 week transit time allows<br />

<strong>Reclamation</strong>, other agencies, stakeholders, and PacifiCorp the ability to coordinate on projected<br />

flows below Link River Dam.<br />

In addition, <strong>Reclamation</strong> will use Williamson River inflow and weather forecasts to estimate<br />

likely Link River Dam and IGD flows for an additional week, resulting in a total <strong>of</strong> 2 weeks <strong>of</strong><br />

projected flows. The additional 1 week <strong>of</strong> Link River Dam and IGD flow projection is intended<br />

to provide further advanced planning opportunities for resource managers and PacifiCorp. The<br />

result <strong>of</strong> the real-time planning operations described here will be a series <strong>of</strong> rolling 1- and 2-<br />

week projections <strong>of</strong> releases at Link River Dam and flow at IGD throughout the fall/winter<br />

period. Note that the rolling 1- and 2-week projections <strong>of</strong> releases at Link River Dam and flow<br />

at IGD will also be followed during the spring/summer.<br />

23

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