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registration document France Telecom 2009 - Orange.com

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isk factors<br />

4<br />

OPERATIONAL RISKS<br />

4.1 OPERATIONAL RISKS<br />

Risks associated with the sector, the<br />

economic environment and the strategy<br />

1. The strong <strong>com</strong>petition in the tele<strong>com</strong>munications sector<br />

could result in a decline in <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s market<br />

share or in the profitability of its business activities.<br />

<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> faces intense <strong>com</strong>petition in the main markets<br />

in which it operates. In light of this <strong>com</strong>petition and with a<br />

view to increasing or maintaining its market shares (particularly<br />

in Spain and the United Kingdom), the Group was forced to<br />

increase its customer retention spend, cut its rates (initially in<br />

the fi xed-line telephony market and more recently in the mobile<br />

market) and to trim its sales margins, as well as to carry out<br />

major capital expenditure programs. These developments<br />

could intensify or over time spread to other markets, such as<br />

Poland, or the mobile market in <strong>France</strong>, where <strong>com</strong>petition is<br />

anticipated to intensify following the awarding of a 4 th 3G license<br />

in December <strong>2009</strong>.<br />

Heightened <strong>com</strong>petition in the core services (fi xed-line<br />

and mobile telephony, Internet access) could result in<br />

<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> losing market share or seeing its margins<br />

tighten signifi cantly, and its revenues and profi tability could then<br />

be adversely affected.<br />

For further information on the <strong>com</strong>petition faced by the<br />

<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> Group in the business segments in which it<br />

operates, see Chapter 6 Overview of the Group’s business.<br />

2. A major portion of <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s revenues is<br />

generated in mature countries and business activities.<br />

<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> must thus identify growth drivers in new<br />

countries or new business activities. This search may<br />

prove difficult or fruitless and the Group’s revenues and<br />

results could be affected as a result.<br />

At constant exchange rates and scope of consolidation, the<br />

increase in <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s revenues in recent years has been<br />

primarily due to the rapid growth in its mobile <strong>com</strong>munications<br />

and Internet businesses, driven in Europe by the upswing in<br />

the corresponding markets. Where these markets mature and<br />

in certain instances show signs of saturation, <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong><br />

is required to seek out growth drivers in new business activities<br />

and new countries. However, this development exposes the<br />

Group to major new risks such as those associated with the<br />

development of non-core business activities or activities located<br />

in regions that are relatively instable or poorly governed. Should<br />

<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> not satisfactorily manage to develop new<br />

business activities to provide growth, its revenues could be<br />

affected .<br />

3. The development strategy implemented by<br />

<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> in fast-growing regions could be<br />

significantly adversely affected by the political, economic<br />

and legal situation in those countries.<br />

The Group’s growth largely depends on its presence in fastgrowing<br />

regions. For that reason, <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> has invested<br />

in tele<strong>com</strong>munications operators in Eastern Europe, the Middle<br />

East, Asia and Africa, and could make further investments in<br />

other fast-growing regions.<br />

The political, economic, legal or labour situations in certain of<br />

these countries may change negatively , as happened in the Ivory<br />

Coast. Furthermore, the growth outlook used when making<br />

these investments may materialize , in particular as a result of the<br />

impact of the current economic crisis. Finally, certain planned<br />

changes, which might have a positive or stabilizing infl uence on<br />

<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s business activities and results, such as the<br />

adoption of the euro by Poland and Romania, could be delayed.<br />

Such circumstances might impact the business activities and<br />

<strong>com</strong>panies in which <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> has invested or may invest<br />

in the future, and could adversely affect the expected return on<br />

these investments along with <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s results.<br />

4. The current economic crisis could significantly adversely<br />

affect <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s business activities, in particular<br />

through its impact on the Group’s revenues or the<br />

development of new services.<br />

The economic crisis led to a pronounced slowdown in the global<br />

economy in 2008 and <strong>2009</strong>, something that may persist or get<br />

worse. The deterioration in economic activity and its impact on<br />

household and corporate spending, as well as a possible return<br />

to infl ationary conditions are all factors that could signifi cantly<br />

adversely affect <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s business activities, revenues<br />

and results.<br />

In addition, the economic crisis is generating risks to trade<br />

receivables, including the lengthening of customer payment<br />

terms with an impact on working capital, and an increase in<br />

the amount of uncollected debts impacting both revenues and<br />

margin.<br />

5. In 2008 and <strong>2009</strong>, <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> reduced its level of<br />

capital expenditure in order to adjust to the slowdown<br />

in economic activity. If this optimization of capital<br />

expenditure were to continue or prove to be out of line<br />

with the growth outlook for the tele<strong>com</strong>munications<br />

sector, it could adversely impact <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s<br />

business activities and future performance.<br />

4<br />

<strong>2009</strong> REGISTRATION DOCUMENT / FRANCE TELECOM<br />

15

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