registration document France Telecom 2009 - Orange.com
registration document France Telecom 2009 - Orange.com
registration document France Telecom 2009 - Orange.com
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4 OPERATIONAL<br />
risk factors<br />
RISKS<br />
In 2008 and <strong>2009</strong>, <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> reduced the level of its<br />
capital expenditure, thereby enabling it to maintain the level of<br />
its organic cash fl ow. The Group now believes that it enjoys<br />
a certain freedom to adjust the level and timing of its capital<br />
expenditure programs. If <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> were unable to<br />
continue readjusting its capital expenditure levels in the event<br />
of a prolonged economic crisis, it may not prove possible to<br />
maintain organic cash fl ow levels. Conversely, were such a<br />
reduction of capital expenditure levels to continue for more than<br />
a certain period of time it could affect <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s ability<br />
to benefi t from any upswing in economic activity. In both events<br />
<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s business activities and future performance<br />
would be adversely affected.<br />
6. A saturation of the collection and transfer networks<br />
resulting from the development of new usages could<br />
force access providers and mobile network operators<br />
to invest heavily in the networks over the medium-term,<br />
something that may prove difficult or even impossible to<br />
make pay.<br />
The current expansion in broadband usages such as TV as part<br />
of triple-play, or Internet streaming, fi xed-line and mobile, has<br />
already on occasion resulted and could more generally result<br />
in the future in the saturation of existing collection and transfer<br />
networks, leading to customer dissatisfaction in the shortterm.<br />
To meet customer demand, or pressure from service<br />
providers or regulatory authorities in the countries in question,<br />
<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> may over the medium-term be required to<br />
undertake massive capital expenditure programs designed to<br />
increase the capacity of its networks. There is no guarantee<br />
that any such necessary or mandatory capital expenditure<br />
programs carried out more specifi cally in the countries in<br />
which <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> is the incumbent operator will pay for<br />
themselves. If it is not possible to assure returns on such capital<br />
expenditure, <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s fi nancial position could be<br />
adversely affected as a result.<br />
For further information on the regulatory environment and the<br />
legal risks, please see Section 4.2 Legal Risks.<br />
7. <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> has opted for a strategy aimed at<br />
developing new growth business es in order to respond<br />
to the rapid and profound transformation of the<br />
tele<strong>com</strong>munications sector. However, this strategy may<br />
prove expensive and/or ineffective, notably as a result of<br />
the economic crisis or the regulatory framework.<br />
In order to respond to the rapid changes to its business sector,<br />
<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> has opted for a strategy that is notably based<br />
on the development of convergent services and on the growth<br />
of new business es such as content, audience or e-health, under<br />
the single <strong>Orange</strong> brand. The pursuit of these goals requires<br />
substantial resources, in particular for service integration and<br />
content development, without any guarantees that usage of<br />
these services and content will grow and provide a return on<br />
the corresponding costs. Furthermore, the development of<br />
these new services could be hampered by regulatory changes<br />
or the economic crisis, with content-related services possibly<br />
being considered discretionary by some customers. Lastly, the<br />
content and convergent services offered by <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong><br />
may not meet customer expectations or may prove impossible<br />
to acquire or produce at a reasonable price. The revenue growth<br />
expected from new business activities could thus be hampered<br />
and <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s growth outlook, fi nancial position and<br />
results adversely affected.<br />
8. Inter-operator <strong>com</strong>petition is played out, and will be<br />
further played out in the future, on the ability of operators<br />
to offer increasingly improving performance, innovation,<br />
user friendliness and <strong>com</strong>petitive services. Short<strong>com</strong>ings<br />
in <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s ability to provide such services<br />
could lead to a loss of customers and market share, and<br />
impact its revenues, margins and results.<br />
Intensifi ed <strong>com</strong>petition is leading <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> to develop<br />
ever more high-performance, innovative and <strong>com</strong>petitive<br />
service offers, targeted at an ever more demanding public.<br />
The development and offering of such services requires<br />
signifi cant efforts in research and innovation, expertise in<br />
<strong>com</strong>plex technologies, very early launch decisions that<br />
presuppose a good understanding of changing needs. Should<br />
<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> not manage to control the <strong>com</strong>plexity of the<br />
networks, technologies (including technologies acquired from<br />
third parties under patents, licenses and partnerships) and<br />
processes necessary to meet the expectations of its customers<br />
as regards simplicity, it might lose (or not gain) market share or<br />
be required to cut its margins on the major innovations central<br />
to the development of the market, and its fi nancial position and<br />
results could be adversely affected as a result.<br />
For further information on <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong>’s revenue performance<br />
and a breakdown thereof in <strong>2009</strong> see Section 9.1.2.1.1<br />
Revenues.<br />
9. <strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> has adopted a single- brand (<strong>Orange</strong>)<br />
strategy that may in certain circumstances not be<br />
as successful as anticipated and result in any image<br />
problem being amplified.<br />
<strong>France</strong> <strong>Tele<strong>com</strong></strong> has adopted a single- brand strategy notably<br />
based on:<br />
■ the placing of the Group’s services and products under the<br />
<strong>Orange</strong> brand, and the use of the brand for new offers such<br />
as multi-play or content;<br />
■ the development of the attractiveness of the <strong>Orange</strong> brand in<br />
all the countries in which the Group operates;<br />
■ paying particular attention to the satisfaction of the brand’s<br />
customers by ensuring that the services offered respond to<br />
the customer’s needs, are simple to use and of a high quality.<br />
16<br />
<strong>2009</strong> REGISTRATION DOCUMENT / FRANCE TELECOM