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Assisting the older driver - SWOV

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<strong>Assisting</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>older</strong> <strong>driver</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> indexed lethality (that of <strong>the</strong> 30‐39 year olds is set at 1) begins to increase<br />

at 55 years old and, at 85, reaches a level that is four times higher than that<br />

for <strong>the</strong> 30‐39 year olds. With an equal fatality rate for all age groups, this<br />

would mean that <strong>the</strong> <strong>older</strong> one gets, <strong>the</strong> more <strong>the</strong> fatality rate of a <strong>driver</strong> is<br />

dominated by <strong>the</strong> vulnerability factor, and <strong>the</strong> less it is influenced by crash<br />

involvement. Therefore, it is expected that <strong>the</strong> high fatality rate of <strong>older</strong><br />

<strong>driver</strong>s is <strong>the</strong> result of a slightly larger involvement in fatal crashes and a<br />

much greater vulnerability, whereas <strong>the</strong> high fatality rate of young <strong>driver</strong>s is<br />

<strong>the</strong> result of a considerably larger involvement in fatal crashes and a slightly<br />

greater vulnerability. For this last conclusion, a reference should be made to<br />

<strong>the</strong> disrupting influence of crash type on lethality. The generally greater<br />

severity of crashes of young <strong>driver</strong>s may be completely responsible for <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

higher lethality. This means that <strong>the</strong> greater vulnerability of young <strong>driver</strong>s as<br />

shown in Figure 1.5 may be <strong>the</strong> mere result of using lethality to measure<br />

vulnerability.<br />

Vulnerability index (30‐39 year olds =1)<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

18‐19<br />

20‐24<br />

25‐29<br />

30‐34<br />

35‐39<br />

40‐44<br />

45‐49<br />

50‐54<br />

55‐59<br />

60‐64<br />

65‐69<br />

70‐74<br />

75‐79<br />

80‐84<br />

85‐89<br />

90+<br />

Figure 1.5. Vulnerability index: number of fatalities per 100 injured in <strong>the</strong><br />

age group concerned (1996‐1998). Source: Ministry of Transport, Public<br />

Works and Water Management.<br />

The large share that <strong>the</strong> vulnerability factor has in <strong>the</strong> involvement of <strong>older</strong><br />

<strong>driver</strong>s in fatal crashes was for Koornstra (1998) reason to believe that <strong>the</strong><br />

road safety measures taken within <strong>the</strong> framework of sustainable safety can<br />

indeed lower <strong>the</strong> general crash rate, but that <strong>the</strong> fatality rate of <strong>older</strong> road<br />

users will always remain higher than average. Some comments can be given<br />

on this. First of all, it may be expected that certain vehicle measures will have<br />

a greater effect on <strong>the</strong> fatality rate of <strong>older</strong> <strong>driver</strong>s than on <strong>the</strong> average<br />

20

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