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3071-The political economy of new slavery

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Emma Dowling 205<br />

gross sum <strong>of</strong> any foreign exchange transaction; any speculative operation<br />

would therefore incur the tax twice, once when bought and again<br />

when sold. Originally, Tobin proposed a percentage between 0.5 and<br />

1 per cent; however, more recent proposals have argued for a lower percentage<br />

within the realms <strong>of</strong> 0.01 and 0.1 per cent for fear <strong>of</strong> deterring<br />

actual beneficial activity. <strong>The</strong> Tobin tax can be said to have five main<br />

objectives, 2 which I shall discuss in turn in order to shed light upon its<br />

feasibility.<br />

Encouraging investment<br />

Any currency transaction tax seeks to encourage investment instead<br />

<strong>of</strong> speculation. Most short-term speculation is carried out for pr<strong>of</strong>it<br />

purposes only. Although some short-term transactions are closely linked<br />

with real economic activity, such as hedging trade and investment<br />

against exchange rate risk, and some are part <strong>of</strong> a short-term (rollover)<br />

financing strategy <strong>of</strong> long-term investment, it would be confusing to go<br />

into too much detail here. In the event <strong>of</strong> an implementation <strong>of</strong> the tax,<br />

traders can still find enough opportunities for hedging risks. Short-term<br />

speculation is rendered more pr<strong>of</strong>itable than long-term investment in<br />

the sense that it yields immediate pr<strong>of</strong>it resulting from small pr<strong>of</strong>it<br />

margins, yet it has drastic destabilizing effects. Mainstream neo-liberal<br />

thinking neglects such problems.<br />

However, recent studies show that short-term investment behaviour<br />

leads to irrational economic behaviour such as short-term thinking.<br />

Such thinking means that there is an increased asymmetry <strong>of</strong> information<br />

and results, which makes investment impossible. Also, extreme risks<br />

are taken. Private investors have more capital than central banks and<br />

therefore more control over the market, which they exploit in favour <strong>of</strong><br />

pr<strong>of</strong>it. Furthermore, due to such short-term fluctuations, central banks<br />

and supervisory agencies have much less time in which to detect a crisis<br />

and react by buying a currency under pressure. Daily speculation leads<br />

to the build up <strong>of</strong> speculative bubbles, which eventually have to burst<br />

and more <strong>of</strong>ten than not cause crises as values are so far removed from<br />

reality: despite the fact that speculative business <strong>of</strong> banks and funds has<br />

been detached from the real <strong>economy</strong>, financial crises have not (Wahl<br />

and Waldow, 2001, p. 7). <strong>The</strong> tax is said to be able to curb speculation and<br />

encourage investment, since even a small tax would render short-term<br />

activity unpr<strong>of</strong>itable (the only reason speculators make such pr<strong>of</strong>its is<br />

because <strong>of</strong> the huge sums they employ) but would have far less effect<br />

on long-term investment; 3 ‘Undesired hot money is held back but the<br />

liquidity needed for real economic activity can pass through...this is

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