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A global review of disaster reduction initiatives - Welcome to the ...

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5Living with Risk: A <strong>global</strong> <strong>review</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>disaster</strong> <strong>reduction</strong> <strong>initiatives</strong>communication networks/forums for dialogue;institutional partnerships vis a vis memorandums<strong>of</strong> agreements between agenciesand organizations;formalized joint mandates, legislation,policies and plans within public authorities;multi-sec<strong>to</strong>r issue advisory groups;multi-disciplinary research projects;integrated databases;search conferences; ando<strong>the</strong>r participa<strong>to</strong>ry planning processes.Technical and research networksDisaster <strong>reduction</strong> and management requirecomprehensive knowledge about hazardousevents, <strong>the</strong> likelihood <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> occurrence and <strong>the</strong>possible impacts <strong>the</strong>y can have on societies, aswell as <strong>the</strong> social, economic and environmentalimplications related <strong>to</strong> vulnerability. Germanyhas substantial scientific and technical capabilitiesin <strong>the</strong>se areas. Two complementaryresearch networks have developed with <strong>the</strong> aim<strong>of</strong> using this experience <strong>to</strong> advance multi-disciplinaryapproaches <strong>to</strong> <strong>disaster</strong> research.In 1999, <strong>the</strong> German Committee for NaturalDisaster Reduction urged <strong>the</strong> creation <strong>of</strong> aCentre for Natural Risks and Development(ZENEB) (Zentrum für Naturrisiken undEntwicklung) <strong>to</strong> focus attention on sociologicalresearch about <strong>disaster</strong>s in developingcountries. Organized as a network based in<strong>the</strong> Universities <strong>of</strong> Bonn and Bayreuth, ZENEBinvolves people in Germany and from o<strong>the</strong>rcountries who share an interest in <strong>the</strong> relationshipsbetween national developmentissues and natural hazard risks in developingcountries. Within this pr<strong>of</strong>essional network,general approaches <strong>to</strong> risk research in <strong>the</strong>context <strong>of</strong> sustainable development are examinedin depth, and individual investigationsand case studies are conducted in developingcountries. An interesting feature is <strong>the</strong> development<strong>of</strong> indica<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> describe <strong>the</strong> relativerisks <strong>of</strong> different countries, where ZENEBhas been collaborating with UNDP. Ano<strong>the</strong>rundertaking is <strong>the</strong> set up a database <strong>of</strong> thoseindica<strong>to</strong>rs that may be used <strong>to</strong> frame socio-economic early warning systems (seewww.zeneb.de).Focusing more on natural hazard knowledge in<strong>the</strong> <strong>disaster</strong> equation, <strong>the</strong> German researchinstitutions have formed <strong>the</strong> German ResearchNetwork for Natural Disasters (DFNK)(Deutsches Forschungsnetz Naturkatastrophen).The goal <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> network is <strong>to</strong> provide <strong>the</strong> scientificfundamentals <strong>of</strong> advanced risk managementassociated with natural hazards and <strong>to</strong>make that knowledge more widely available forusers. Realistic scenarios are developed <strong>to</strong> estimatecurrent levels <strong>of</strong> risk and <strong>the</strong> dynamicfeatures <strong>of</strong> future risk due <strong>to</strong> <strong>global</strong> change insuch areas as climate variability, increasingdensity <strong>of</strong> population and changing land usevalues in endangered areas. This informationcan be used for early warning purposes, in support<strong>of</strong> decision-support systems in <strong>disaster</strong>management, and for developing greaterunderstanding <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> issues among both politicalauthorities and <strong>the</strong> public.The 14 partner institutions shown in <strong>the</strong> figurebelow and <strong>the</strong> projects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> network aregrouped in<strong>to</strong> five clusters: s<strong>to</strong>rm risk assessment,flood risk assessment, earthquake riskassessment, forest fire simulation system, anddatabases and information systems. The jointuser-oriented research requires close collaborationamong <strong>the</strong> different clusters, which isaided by <strong>the</strong> information cluster. This providesdata, syn<strong>the</strong>sizes information and applies <strong>to</strong>olsfor higher-level information systems such asclearing house functions, data warehousingand near-real time transmission.The city <strong>of</strong> Cologne was chosen as <strong>the</strong> initialarea <strong>of</strong> interest for <strong>the</strong> combined assessment <strong>of</strong>floods, earthquakes and s<strong>to</strong>rms. The respectiveclusters apply extensive data sets, analyticaltechniques and simulation models <strong>to</strong> risk estimationprocesses so that current risks can bedepicted, future risks detected, and safety recommendationsmade. A second regionalemphasis has been placed on <strong>the</strong> Brandenburgregion with Berlin as an adjacent focal point.There, <strong>the</strong> forest fire simulation cluster is moni<strong>to</strong>ring<strong>the</strong> hazard, using simulations, anddeveloping an early warning system.246

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