CONSULTING
20160713MSC-WNISR2016V2-LR
20160713MSC-WNISR2016V2-LR
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
for the £16 billion (US$30 billion) overnight cost of construction of Hinkley C. 819 Since then, EDF<br />
has repeatedly announced its intention to make a Final Investment Decision but by mid-2016, no<br />
such decision had been taken, nor is one expected before September 2016. The key points of the<br />
deal were a Contract For Difference (CFD), effectively a guaranteed real electricity price for 35<br />
years, which depending on the number of units ultimately built, would be between £89.5 and<br />
£92.5/MWh (US$152.6–157.7/MWh), with annual increases linked to the retail price index. The<br />
completion date was put back from 2023 to 2025 with first concrete expected in 2019. There was<br />
an expectation that construction would be primarily funded by debt (borrowing) backed by U.K.<br />
sovereign loan guarantees, expected to be about £17 billion (US$26.9 billion). However, in<br />
October EDF claimed it expected to finance its part of the finance from equity (own funds),<br />
suggesting it would be “more efficient”. 820 EDF announced in November 2015 its intention to sell<br />
non-core assets worth up to €10 billion to help finance Hinkley but by May 2016, no progress had<br />
been made with these sales. 821 By May 2016, it was not clear, whether this was a choice or whether<br />
it was forced on it by conditions imposed by the U.K. government it could not meet. The EDF CEO,<br />
Bernard Levy, wrote to EDF employees in March 2016 saying EDF would not go ahead with<br />
Hinkley “unless it gets more financial support from the French state.” 822 The type of financial<br />
support required was not specified, leaving the option that French loan guarantees were sought<br />
open.<br />
The expected composition of the consortium owning the plant had changed from October 2013 to<br />
October 2015. In 2013, it was expected to comprise EDF (up to 50 percent), two Chinese<br />
companies, CGN and CNNC (up to 40 percent), and AREVA (up to 10 percent), with up to<br />
15 percent still to be determined. In October 2015, the effective bankruptcy of AREVA made their<br />
contribution impossible, the Chinese stake had fallen to 33.5 percent and the other investors had<br />
not materialized leaving EDF with 66.5 percent. The October announcement mentioned only CGN<br />
leaving the impression CNNC had dropped out, but in May 2016, CNNC made it clear they expected<br />
to participate in the 33.5 percent Chinese stake. 823<br />
One other new element was that the Chinese stake in the follow-on Sizewell C project would be<br />
reduced to 20 percent leaving EDF with 80 percent. Given the problems EDF is having financing<br />
Hinkley, this makes the Sizewell project appear implausible. However, EDF is allowing CGN to use<br />
the Bradwell site it had bought as back-up, if either the Hinkley or Sizewell sites proved not to be<br />
viable. CGN plans to build its own technology, Hualong One (or HPR-1000) at this site. 824 It expects<br />
to submit the design to the U.K.’s Office for Nuclear Regulation (ONR) in 2016 for review under<br />
819 The 2013 and 2015 figures are all in 2012 money unless otherwise specified.<br />
820 The Telegraph, “New nuclear plant at Hinkley Point to begin construction 'within weeks'”,<br />
21 October 2015, see http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/energy/nuclearpower/11945485/Nuclear-goahead-construction-of-new-plant-to-begin-within-weeks.html,<br />
accessed 2 July 2016.<br />
821 Financial Times, “EDF looks to sell €10bn of assets to boost balance sheet”, see<br />
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/fcd6a462-7578-11e5-a95a-27d368e1ddf7.html, accessed 4 July 2016.<br />
822 Reuters, “UPDATE 2-EDF says no new Hinkley Point reactors without more French state help”,<br />
11 March 2016, see http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL5N16J4TT, accessed 18 June 2016.<br />
823 The Times, “Chinese give Hinkley Point nuclear project a boost”, 9 May 2016.<br />
824 CGN, “Agreements in place for construction of Hinkley Point C nuclear power station”, Press Release,<br />
21 October 2016, see http://en.cgnpc.com.cn/n1017152/n1017227/c1141640/content.html, accessed<br />
18 June 2016.<br />
Mycle Schneider, Antony Froggatt et al. 194 World Nuclear Industry Status Report 2016