CONSULTING
20160713MSC-WNISR2016V2-LR
20160713MSC-WNISR2016V2-LR
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Of the 754 reactor constructions launched since 1951, at least 92 units (12.2 percent) in<br />
17 countries have been abandoned, of which 87, according to the IAEA, between 1977 and 2012—<br />
no earlier or later IAEA data available—at various stages after they had reached construction<br />
status.<br />
Over three-quarters (71) of the cancellations happened during a 12-year period between 1982<br />
and 1993, 11 were decided prior to this period, and only 10 over the 20-year period between 1993<br />
and 2012.<br />
Close to three quarters (67 units) of all cancelled projects were in four countries alone—the<br />
U.S. (40), Russia (15), Germany and Ukraine (six each). Some units were actually 100 percent<br />
completed—including Kalkar in Germany and Zwentendorf in Austria—before the decision was<br />
taken not to operate them.<br />
There is no thorough analysis of the cumulated economic loss of these failed investments.<br />
Operating Age<br />
In the absence of any significant new-build and grid connection over many years, the average age<br />
(from grid connection) of operating nuclear power plants has been increasing steadily and at mid-<br />
2016 stands at 29 years, up from 28.8 a year ago (see Figure 13 and Figure 14). 34 Some nuclear<br />
utilities envisage average reactor lifetimes of beyond 40 years up to 60 and even 80 years. In the<br />
United States, reactors are initially licensed to operate for 40 years, but nuclear operators can<br />
request a license renewal for an additional 20 years from the NRC.<br />
As of June 2016, 81 of the 100 operating U.S. units have received an extension, with another<br />
12 applications under NRC review. Since WNISR2015, seven license renewals (Davis-Besse,<br />
Sequoyah 1-2, Braidwood 1-2, Byron 1-2) have been granted and an additional one applied for<br />
(Waterford 3). 35<br />
Many other countries have no specific time limits on operating licenses. In France, where the<br />
country’s first operating Pressurized Water Reactor (PWR) started up in 1977, reactors must<br />
undergo in-depth inspection and testing every decade against reinforced safety requirements.<br />
The French reactors have operated for 31.4 years on average, and the oldest have started the<br />
process with the French Nuclear Safety Authority (ASN) evaluating each reactor before allowing<br />
a unit to operate for more than 30 years. Only few got have passed the procedure yet and the<br />
assessments are years behind schedule. They could then operate until they reach 40 years, which<br />
is the limit of their initial design age. The French utility Électricité de France (EDF) has clearly<br />
stated that, for economic reasons, it plans to prioritize lifetime extension beyond 40 years over<br />
34 WNISR calculates reactor age from grid connection to final disconnection from the grid. In WNISR<br />
statistics, “startup” is synonymous with grid connection and “shutdown” with withdrawal from the grid. In<br />
previous editions of the WNISR, the reactor age was automatically rounded to the year. In order to have a<br />
better image of the fleet and ease calculations, the age of a reactor is considered to be 1 between the first<br />
and second grid connection anniversaries. For some calculations, we also use operating years: the reactor<br />
is in its first operating year until the first grid connection anniversary, when it enters the second operating<br />
year.<br />
35 NRC, “Status of License Renewal Applications and Industry Activities”, Updated 14 April 2016, see<br />
http://www.nrc.gov/reactors/operating/licensing/renewal/applications.html, accessed 1 July 2016.<br />
Mycle Schneider, Antony Froggatt et al. 33 World Nuclear Industry Status Report 2016