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Grasslands of the World.pdf - Disasters and Conflicts - UNEP

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102<br />

<strong>Grassl<strong>and</strong>s</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world<br />

production potential <strong>and</strong> greater economic importance – being given <strong>the</strong><br />

greatest attention. The research focus has been on supporting government<br />

intervention in three major areas.<br />

The first area receiving government research support is <strong>the</strong> estimation <strong>of</strong><br />

sustainable production (carrying capacity ), which was deemed important, as<br />

government attempted to enforce restrictions on <strong>the</strong> numbers <strong>of</strong> livestock on<br />

freehold properties. Grazing trials (mainly on-station), attempted to determine<br />

sustainable production levels, using a number <strong>of</strong> ecological <strong>and</strong> animal<br />

performance indices. Ecological indices that were measured to assess livestock<br />

impact on <strong>the</strong> rangel<strong>and</strong> included plant species composition, plant vigour <strong>and</strong><br />

biomass production. In general, on-station trials did not permit <strong>the</strong> application<br />

<strong>of</strong> extreme treatments that would be appropriate to test <strong>the</strong> ecosystem .<br />

Researchers were reluctant to be perceived to be degrading a state-owned<br />

resource <strong>and</strong> trials were frequently terminated within <strong>the</strong> time-frames <strong>of</strong><br />

system run-down. Conclusions for each veldt type vary enormously, but we<br />

would like to elaborate on those delivered for <strong>the</strong> semi -arid grassl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

Eastern Cape.<br />

It is well recognized that rainfall is <strong>the</strong> primary determinant <strong>of</strong> forage<br />

production <strong>and</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> production model s have been developed for<br />

predicting <strong>the</strong> aboveground primary production in natural rangel<strong>and</strong> in<br />

sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa. Coe, Cumming <strong>and</strong> Phillipson (1976) demonstrate a linear<br />

relationship between annual rainfall <strong>and</strong> primary production for conservation<br />

areas in sou<strong>the</strong>rn Africa. These predictions are regarded as conservative<br />

by commercial graziers, many <strong>of</strong> whom suggest that production for livestock<br />

can be optimized by rotational grazing (Danckwerts <strong>and</strong> Teague, 1989). In an<br />

effort to assess <strong>the</strong> sustainable production <strong>of</strong> grassl<strong>and</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> Eastern Cape<br />

Province, a grazing trial was established on a freehold ranch (<strong>the</strong> so-called<br />

Kroomie Trial ) to test <strong>the</strong> impact <strong>of</strong> animal type (cattle or sheep ), number<br />

(light, moderate or heavy stocking rate ) <strong>and</strong> duration (rotation versus continuous<br />

) on rangel<strong>and</strong> condition <strong>and</strong> animal production. Preliminary results<br />

suggest that continuous grazing under moderate stocking rate (that recommended<br />

by <strong>the</strong> National Department <strong>of</strong> Agriculture ) yields <strong>the</strong> best livestock<br />

mass gain. However, in <strong>the</strong> Kroomie trial, no significant changes in species<br />

composition are obvious <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> duration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> trial (10 years) is insufficient<br />

to make conclusive assertions regarding system run-down. Even in situations<br />

like this, where <strong>the</strong> questions have been clearly defined <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> treatments<br />

meticulously applied, no clear answers to “sustainable” production levels are<br />

available. Using SPUR2 (Wight <strong>and</strong> Skiles, 1987; Hanson et al 1994), Palmer,<br />

Ainslie <strong>and</strong> H<strong>of</strong>fman (1999) simulated a 50-year beef operation under continuous<br />

grazing for a site receiving 500 mm/yr (similar in elevation <strong>and</strong> rainfall to<br />

<strong>the</strong> conditions at Kroomie). The “recommended stocking rate”, determined<br />

by <strong>the</strong> National Department <strong>of</strong> Agriculture <strong>and</strong> L<strong>and</strong> Affairs, was 6 ha/LSU.<br />

When running ano<strong>the</strong>r simulation at 4 ha/LSU, with ambient CO2 at 330 ppm,

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