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Grasslands of the World.pdf - Disasters and Conflicts - UNEP

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<strong>Grassl<strong>and</strong>s</strong> <strong>of</strong> South Africa 103<br />

Livestock mass (kg)<br />

Figure 3.8<br />

Simulated carrying capacity for Grahamstown using SPUR2, with stocking rate<br />

set at that recommended by <strong>the</strong> Department <strong>of</strong> Agriculture (4 ha/LSU) under a<br />

continuous grazing system.<br />

Livestock mass (kg)<br />

Month<br />

100 200 300 400 500 600<br />

Month<br />

Figure 3.9<br />

Simulated carrying capacity for Grahamstown using SPUR2, with stocking rate set<br />

at 2 ha/LSU under a continuous grazing system. System shows signs <strong>of</strong> run-down<br />

after 300 months.<br />

<strong>the</strong> system remained sustainable (Figure 3.8). Only when <strong>the</strong> stocking rate was<br />

increased dramatically, doubled to 2 ha/LSU, did <strong>the</strong> system run down within<br />

<strong>the</strong> 50-year simulation period (Figure 3.9). These results suggest that <strong>the</strong> recommended<br />

stocking rates for grassl<strong>and</strong> systems are well below those that are

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