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Grasslands of the World.pdf - Disasters and Conflicts - UNEP

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48<br />

<strong>Grassl<strong>and</strong>s</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> world<br />

subsistence cultivation were ab<strong>and</strong>oned after a few years, due to crop destruction<br />

by wildlife <strong>and</strong> highly variable yields linked with climate variability. In<br />

<strong>the</strong> Tanzanian part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ecosystem, l<strong>and</strong> cover changes were less pronounced.<br />

No conversion for large-scale farming occurred; most l<strong>and</strong> cover changes were<br />

ei<strong>the</strong>r expansion <strong>of</strong> smallholder cultivation or natural succession in rangel<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

Extensive areas <strong>of</strong> cultivated l<strong>and</strong> (subsistence to medium-scale agriculture)<br />

were found in <strong>the</strong> unprotected l<strong>and</strong>s, right up to <strong>the</strong> border with <strong>the</strong> protected<br />

areas west <strong>of</strong> Serengeti <strong>and</strong> sou<strong>the</strong>ast <strong>of</strong> NCA. In <strong>the</strong> NCA <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> Loliondo<br />

Game Controlled Area, about 2 percent <strong>of</strong> l<strong>and</strong> cover changes were attributed<br />

to smallholder impact over <strong>the</strong> past 20 years. In <strong>the</strong> NCA, cultivation is regulated:<br />

only h<strong>and</strong>-hoe cultivation is allowed <strong>and</strong> fields are small <strong>and</strong> scattered. In<br />

<strong>the</strong> Loliondo, no such restrictions are in place, but <strong>the</strong> area is very inaccessible,<br />

so <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> opportunities to export <strong>the</strong> crops outside <strong>the</strong> area effectively<br />

controls <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> cultivation.<br />

The conversion <strong>of</strong> rangel<strong>and</strong>s to agriculture has had a serious impact on <strong>the</strong><br />

wildebeest population in <strong>the</strong> Kenyan part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Serengeti-Mara ecosystem .<br />

The population declined drastically over <strong>the</strong> past twenty years <strong>and</strong> is currently<br />

fluctuating around an estimated population <strong>of</strong> 31 300 animals, which is about<br />

25 percent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population size at <strong>the</strong> end <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1970s. Fluctuations in <strong>the</strong><br />

wildebeest population in <strong>the</strong> Kenyan part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Serengeti-Mara ecosystem,<br />

over <strong>the</strong> last decades, have been correlated strongly with <strong>the</strong> availability<br />

<strong>of</strong> forage during <strong>the</strong> dry <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> wet seasons (Serneels <strong>and</strong> Lambin, 2001).<br />

Expansion <strong>of</strong> large-scale mechanized wheat farming in Kenya since <strong>the</strong> early<br />

1980s has drastically reduced <strong>the</strong> wildebeest wet-season range, forcing <strong>the</strong><br />

wildebeest population to use drier rangel<strong>and</strong>s or to move to areas where<br />

competition with cattle is greater. The expansion <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> farming area has not<br />

influenced <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> total cattle population in <strong>the</strong> Kenyan part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

study area, nor its spatial distribution. The much larger migratory wildebeest<br />

population <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Serengeti, in Tanzania , did not decline at <strong>the</strong> same time as<br />

<strong>the</strong> Kenyan population but is also regulated by food supply in <strong>the</strong> dry season<br />

(Mduma, Sinclair <strong>and</strong> Hilborn, 1999). Around <strong>the</strong> Serengeti, in Tanzania, l<strong>and</strong><br />

use changes are much less widespread, occur at a lower rate <strong>and</strong> affect a much<br />

smaller area compared with <strong>the</strong> Kenyan part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ecosystem. Moreover,<br />

l<strong>and</strong> use changes around <strong>the</strong> Serengeti have taken place away from <strong>the</strong> main<br />

migration routes <strong>of</strong> wildebeest.<br />

Protected areas <strong>and</strong> local l<strong>and</strong> use: source <strong>of</strong> conflict in Tanzania<br />

Savannah ecosystems are well represented in African protected area networks<br />

(Davis, Heywood <strong>and</strong> Hamilton, 1994). In Tanzania , very large tracts <strong>of</strong><br />

savannah have been set aside for conservation , partly because <strong>the</strong>se rangel<strong>and</strong>s<br />

support <strong>the</strong> most diverse assemblage <strong>of</strong> migrating ungulates on earth (Sinclair,<br />

1995). However, <strong>the</strong>re are few resources to manage <strong>the</strong>se conservation areas<br />

effectively <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> rural populations surrounding <strong>the</strong>m are among <strong>the</strong> poorest

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