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David K.H. Begg, Gianluigi Vernasca-Economics-McGraw Hill Higher Education (2011)

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CHAPTER 12 Risk and information<br />

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Riskness of each asset (beta)<br />

Each share's risk is measured by<br />

its beta, which shows how that<br />

share's returns move with returns<br />

in the market as a whole. The<br />

higher the beta, the more the<br />

inclusion of the share in a portfolio<br />

will increase the total portfolio risk.<br />

The data show that riskier shares<br />

with higher betas must offer a<br />

higher return on average to<br />

compensate for this disadvantage.<br />

Figure 12.2<br />

Risk-return relationship for company shares<br />

Table 12.6<br />

Beta for selected sectors<br />

Retailing 0.96<br />

Cosmetics 0.66<br />

Banks 1.27<br />

Chemicals 0.81<br />

-<br />

Energy 0.82<br />

Brewing 0.66<br />

-<br />

Tobacco 0.59<br />

Source: Risk Management Services, 2003.<br />

Media<br />

Defence<br />

Paper<br />

Mining<br />

Textiles<br />

Personal products<br />

Clothing<br />

1.2<br />

1.14<br />

0.99<br />

1 .19<br />

0.27<br />

0.63<br />

0.71<br />

on average offer high rates of return that compensate for their undesirable risk characteristics. Figure 12.2<br />

shows the results of a pioneering study by Professors Black, Jensen and Scholes5 using stock market data<br />

from 1931 to 1965. Average returns on individual shares rise steadily with the shares' beta as the theory<br />

predicts. Table 12.6 shows recent estimates of beta for selected sectors of the FTSE index.<br />

To sum up, individual share prices depend both on expected or average returns and on risk characteristics.<br />

The risk characteristics of a firm's shares determine the expected return its shares must offer to compete<br />

with other shares. For a given required return, higher anticipated income (dividends or capital gains)<br />

means a higher current share price.<br />

The riskiness of a firm's shares refers not to variability of the share's return in isolation from the rest of the<br />

market. This is why beta matters. Adding a risky asset to the portfolio reduces the risk of the portfolio<br />

provided the share's beta is less than 1. Low beta shares can be individually risky; nevertheless, taken with<br />

other shares they reduce portfolio risk and are therefore desirable. Low beta shares have an above-average<br />

price and a below-average rate of return to offset this advantage; high beta shares must offer an aboveaverage<br />

expected return to be competitive.<br />

5 Black, F., Jensen, M. C. and Scholes, M. (1972) The capital asset pricing model: some empirical tests, in M. C. Jensen (ed.),<br />

Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets, Praeger, pp. 79-121.<br />

290

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