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David K.H. Begg, Gianluigi Vernasca-Economics-McGraw Hill Higher Education (2011)

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3 .6 Behind the supply curve<br />

where Qt is the quantity of mobile voice calls made in period t, Pt is the price of mobile voice calls per minute<br />

in period t, Yr is the consumers' income (measured as disposable income per head) in period t, PFC1 is the<br />

price of fixed voice calls per minute in period t, PSMS1 is the price of SMS (short message service) in period<br />

t and T denotes a time trend (T = 1 in the third quarter of 1999 represents the first observation; T = 2 in the<br />

fourth quarter of 1999 represents the second observation, and so on).<br />

From equation ( 1) we can see some interesting results. An increase in the price of mobile voice calls (everything<br />

else equal) decreases the quantity of mobile calls made as we should expect from market demand. An increase<br />

in the income of consumers (everything else equal) will increase the quantity of mobile calls made, implying<br />

that mobile voice calls are a normal good.<br />

From equation ( 1) we can also obtain the usual demand curve that relates quantity and price, other things<br />

equal, in a given period of time. Suppose that in the second quarter of 2005, the level of consumers' income<br />

was £2000, the price of fixed voice calls was 1 Op, the price of SMS was Sp and the time trend was 24. Using<br />

those numbers in equation (1) we obtain the demand curve for the second quarter of 2005:<br />

Q200 5 q2 = 2795.2 - l.03P200 5 q2 (2)<br />

A word of caution about the estimated demand in (1): econometrics uses statistical techniques to estimate<br />

a relationship between variables using data. Therefore equation ( 1) is not the exact market demand and the<br />

predictions we obtain from it may not be totally reliable.<br />

Source: Adapted from Alpetkin, A. et al. (2007) Estimating spectrum demand for the cellular services in the UK, working paper, University<br />

of Surrey.<br />

B_ e _ h i_nd_t_ h _ e s_ u _ PP _ly_c_ u r_ve<br />

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<br />

At low prices, only the most efficient chocolate producers make profits. As prices rise, producers previously<br />

unable to compete can now make a profit in the chocolate business and wish to supply. Moreover, previously<br />

existing firms may be able to expand output by working overtime, or buying fancy equipment unjustified<br />

when selling chocolate at lower prices. In general, higher prices are needed to induce firms to produce<br />

more chocolate. Other things equal, supply curves slope up as we move to the right.<br />

Just as we studied the 'other things equal' along a demand curve, we now examine three categories of 'other<br />

things equal' along a supply curve: the technology available to producers, the cost of inputs (labour,<br />

machines, fuel, raw materials) and government regulation. Along a particular supply curve, all of these are<br />

held constant. A change in any of these categories shifts the supply curve, changing the amount producers<br />

wish to supply at each price.<br />

Technology<br />

A supply curve is drawn for a given technology. Better technology shifts the supply curve to the right.<br />

Producers supply more than previously at each price. Better cocoa refining reduces the cost of making<br />

chocolate. Faster shipping and better refrigeration lead to less wastage in spoiled cocoa beans. Technological<br />

advance enables firms to supply more at each price.<br />

As a determinant of supply, technology must be interpreted broadly. It embraces all know-how about<br />

production methods, not merely the state of available machinery. In agriculture, the development of<br />

disease-resistant seeds is a technological advance. Improved weather forecasting might enable better<br />

timing of planting and harvesting. A technological advance is any idea that allows more output from the<br />

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