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David K.H. Begg, Gianluigi Vernasca-Economics-McGraw Hill Higher Education (2011)

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CHAPTER 19 Interest rates and monetary transmission<br />

An excess demand for money must be exactly matched<br />

by an excess supply ofbonds. Otherwise people are planning<br />

to hold more wealth than they actually possess.<br />

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L' L0<br />

Real money balances<br />

LL'<br />

An excess demand for money at the interest rate r1 in<br />

Figure 19 .1 bids up the interest rate to its equilibrium level<br />

r0• With excess demand for money, there is an excess supply<br />

of bonds. To make people want more bonds, suppliers of<br />

bonds offer a higher interest rate. 2 People switch from money<br />

to bonds. The higher interest rate reduces both the excess<br />

supply of bonds and the excess demand for money. At<br />

the interest rate r0, money supply equals money demand.<br />

Bond supply equals bond demand. Both markets are in<br />

equilibrium. People wish to divide their wealth in precisely<br />

the ratio of the relative supplies of money and bonds.<br />

From now on, we examine the implicit market for money.<br />

However, any statement about the money market is also<br />

a statement about the bond market.<br />

With a given real income, LL is the demand schedule<br />

for real money balances. A reduction in the real money<br />

supply from L0 to L' moves the equilibrium interest rates<br />

from r0 to r ' to reduce the quantity of money demanded<br />

in line with the fall in the quantity supplied. With a given<br />

supply of real money L0, an increase in real income shifts<br />

the demand schedule from LL to LL'. The equilibrium<br />

interest rates must increase from r0 to r'. <strong>Higher</strong> real<br />

income tends to increase the quantity of real money<br />

demanded and higher interest rates are required to<br />

offer this, maintaining the quantity of real money<br />

demanded in line with the unchanged real supply.<br />

Figure 19.2<br />

Equilibrium interest rates<br />

Changes in equilibrium<br />

A shift in either money supply or money demand changes<br />

equilibrium in the money market (and the bond market).<br />

These shifts are examined in Figure 19.2.<br />

A fall in the money supply<br />

Suppose the central bank lowers the money supply. For<br />

a fixed price level, lower nominal money reduces the<br />

real money supply. Figure 19.2 shows this leftward shift<br />

in the supply curve. Real money falls from L0 to L'. The<br />

equilibrium interest rate rises from r0 to r'. A higher<br />

interest rate reduces the demand for real money in line with the lower quantity supplied. Hence a lower real<br />

money supply raises the equilibrium interest rate. Conversely, a rise in the real money supply reduces the<br />

equilibrium interest rate.<br />

A rise in real income<br />

Figure 19.2 shows real money demand LL for a given real income. A rise in real income increases<br />

the marginal benefit of holding money at each interest rate, raising real money demand from LL to LL'. The<br />

equilibrium interest rate rises to keep real money demand equal to the unchanged real supply L0• Conversely,<br />

a fall in real income shifts LL to the left and reduces the equilibrium interest rate.<br />

More competition in banking<br />

Figure 19.2 also draws money demand LL for a given interest rate paid on bank deposits. Holding this rate<br />

constant, a rise in bond interest rates r raises the cost of holding money and reduces the quantity of money<br />

demanded. This implies the economy moves up a given demand curve LL.<br />

2 A bond is a promise to pay a given stream of interest payments over a given time period. The bond price is the present value of<br />

this stream of payments. The higher the interest rate at which the stream is discounted, the lower the price of a bond. With an<br />

excess supply of bonds, bond prices fall and the interest rate or rate of return on bonds rises.<br />

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