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BOC Immingham Dissolved Acetylene Project Environmental Statement: Vol. 2 Main Text<br />

9.26 For the Humber Estuary, the standard reference station is Immingham where the Proudman<br />

Oceanographic Laboratory (POL) operates two full-tide bubbler gauges. Table 9.2 58 summarises<br />

the main tidal characteristics for the site.<br />

Table 9.2 Predicted Tide Levels<br />

m above Chart<br />

Datum (CD)<br />

Immingham<br />

m above Ordnance<br />

Datum Newlyn (ODN)<br />

Highest Astronomical Tide HAT 7.97 4.07<br />

Mean High Water Springs MHWS 7.19 3.29<br />

Mean High Water Neaps MHWN 5.74 1.84<br />

Mean Sea Level MSL 4.13 0.23<br />

Mean Low Water Neaps MLWN 2.58 -1.32<br />

Mean Low Water Springs MLWS 1.00 -2.90<br />

Lowest Astronomical Tide LAT 0.11 -3.79<br />

Ordnance Datum Newlyn ODN -3.9 -<br />

Tidal Range<br />

Peak Range (HAT LAT) 7.86<br />

Spring Range (MHWS MLWS) 6.19<br />

Neap Range (MHWN MLWN) 3.16<br />

9.27 Extreme sea level analysis 59 has been undertaken for the EA for Immingham for the 0.5 and 0.1%<br />

annual exceedence probability (AEP) using the POL methodology. The results for extreme sea<br />

level analysis are provided in detail within Appendix 9A and are summarised in Table 9.3.<br />

Return<br />

Period (year)<br />

Table 9.3 Extreme Sea Levels<br />

AEP (%) Still water level (m<br />

AOD)<br />

Still water level with climate<br />

change to 2063 (m AOD)<br />

200 0.5 5.05 5.449<br />

1,000 0.1 5.34 5.739<br />

9.28 Studies 60 suggest that increased rates of sea level rise are resulting from climate change. The rise<br />

in sea levels will change the frequency of occurrence of high water levels relative to today’s sea<br />

levels, assuming no change in storminess. There may also be secondary impacts such as<br />

changes in wave heights which would increase the risk from tidal flooding. The predicted effect of<br />

climate change on extreme sea levels is provided in detail within Appendix 9A and is summarised<br />

in Table 9.3.<br />

5100935.404 Environmental Statement August 2011 133

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