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BOC Immingham Dissolved Acetylene Project Environmental Statement: Vol. 2 Main Text<br />

9.50 During construction, the operation of machinery may result in compaction of the soil which will<br />

reduce the infiltration capacity. This could result in an increase in surface water runoff and could<br />

lead to localised flooding and runoff into Middle Drain.<br />

9.51 It is unlikely that any effects will be realised as a result of climate change during the 9 month<br />

construction phase (due to the relatively short timescale). It is, therefore, considered that no<br />

significant change in flood risk at the site will occur during the construction period.<br />

Operation<br />

9.52 PPS 25 sets out the recommended contingency allowances for sea level rise as a result of climate<br />

change. The potential increase in sea level rise to 2063 xiii is 0.399 mm; this will increase the risk of<br />

flooding to the site, especially from the overtopping of the coastal defences.<br />

9.53 There is a potential flood risk to the staff and equipment from extreme events in Middle Drain<br />

coinciding with tide-locking due to a failure of the pumping station.<br />

9.54 Prolonged periods of rainfall in the surrounding catchment and high tides in the Humber Estuary<br />

can lead to an increase in groundwater levels and contribute to groundwater flooding.<br />

9.55 The proposed development will increase the impermeable area of the site and will result in an<br />

increase in surface water runoff. Any surface water flooding is likely to have an adverse impact on<br />

the operation of the site and may increase the risk of flooding at the proposed development site or<br />

on land within the surrounding area.<br />

9.56 Earth embankments (2 m high) will be constructed on three sides of the main process area; these<br />

may result in displacement of flood water and changes to surface water runoff pathways<br />

increasing flood risk to the surrounding area.<br />

Impact Assessment<br />

Construction<br />

Tidal<br />

9.57 The existing flood defences for the current situation are high enough to prevent overtopping such<br />

that the site is defended from coastal flooding to at least a 1 in 1,000 year standard of protection.<br />

There is, however, a risk of flooding from breach of these defences and overtopping from more<br />

extreme scenarios.<br />

9.58 The existing coastal defences are considered to be fair or good condition and the risk of failure of<br />

these defences (i.e. a breach) is considered to be minimal. The EA have provided flood hazard<br />

outputs from a two dimensional model built to simulate the coastal flooding and the overtopping of<br />

the existing defences at the proposed development site for a 1 in 200 year and 1 in 1,000 year<br />

event current day scenario (2006). The results of this modelling are provided in Appendix 9E.<br />

9.59 The results of the modelling show that using the Defra report FD2320 63 the flood hazard rating is<br />

greater than 2. The velocities and depth represent a severe flood hazard which is considered to<br />

be dangerous for all as the breach of the defences results in deep or fast flowing water. The<br />

impact would be considered to be of major adverse significance.<br />

9.60 The modelling of the overtopping of the coastal defences for a 0.1% AEP present day scenario<br />

indicates that there is no risk to the proposed development site. The impact of overtopping is<br />

therefore considered to be of negligible significance.<br />

5100935.404 Environmental Statement August 2011 137

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