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Dealing with salinity in Wheatbelt Valleys - Department of Water

Dealing with salinity in Wheatbelt Valleys - Department of Water

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Pannell<br />

• the area <strong>of</strong> land protected from <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> per<br />

hectare <strong>of</strong> land sown to perennials;<br />

• the cost <strong>of</strong> establish<strong>in</strong>g perennials;<br />

• the <strong>in</strong>terest rate;<br />

• the time lag until <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> would have occurred;<br />

Required pr<strong>of</strong>itability <strong>of</strong> perennials<br />

(relative to annuals)<br />

1<br />

0.8<br />

0.6<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

– 4 –<br />

• the <strong>in</strong>come from crops or pasture on the land<br />

if not replaced <strong>with</strong> perennials; and<br />

• the potential to earn <strong>in</strong>come from graz<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong>f<br />

sal<strong>in</strong>ised land.<br />

Bathgate & Pannell (2002) specify the assumptions<br />

they made about these and other factors.<br />

Delay before <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong><br />

would have occured<br />

20 years<br />

10 years<br />

0<br />

0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5<br />

Land protected (proportion <strong>of</strong> treated area)<br />

Figure 2: Break-even levels <strong>of</strong> direct pr<strong>of</strong>it from perennial-based farm<strong>in</strong>g system required to match longrun<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial performance <strong>of</strong> traditional annuals, allow<strong>in</strong>g for <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong>-prevention benefits <strong>of</strong> perennials<br />

Figure 2 shows how much direct pr<strong>of</strong>it would be<br />

required from the perennials to justify their<br />

<strong>in</strong>clusion on the farm, from a narrow f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

perspective. Consider the result for a lag <strong>of</strong><br />

10 years before <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> occurs. The figure shows<br />

that if the area treated equals the area protected<br />

(“land protected” = 1.0), the perennial would<br />

need to generate pr<strong>of</strong>its at least 70% as large as<br />

the traditional agricultural enterprise grown on the<br />

land <strong>in</strong> question. As the protection <strong>of</strong> additional<br />

untreated land <strong>in</strong>creases, there is a fall <strong>in</strong> the<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>itability required to break even, while longer<br />

time lags before <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> result <strong>in</strong> a greater pr<strong>of</strong>it<br />

requirement.<br />

Even <strong>in</strong> the most favourable situation, perennials<br />

must do better than cover<strong>in</strong>g their <strong>in</strong>put costs.<br />

For time lags <strong>of</strong> 20 years or more, the pr<strong>of</strong>itability<br />

<strong>of</strong> perennials must nearly equal that <strong>of</strong> traditional<br />

crops or pastures, even if land protected is greater<br />

than land treated.<br />

Overall, the results show that the <strong>in</strong>direct benefits<br />

<strong>of</strong> perennials due to <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> prevention will be<br />

small relative to their direct, short-term benefits<br />

and costs. In wheatbelt valleys <strong>of</strong> Western<br />

Australia, it appears that it is rarely possible to<br />

implement treatments that protect much more<br />

than the land on which they are situated (and<br />

perhaps not even that much). This <strong>in</strong>formation<br />

requires us to fundamentally re-th<strong>in</strong>k the nature <strong>of</strong><br />

the <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> abatement problem. It implies that for<br />

adoption <strong>of</strong> perennials to be f<strong>in</strong>ancially attractive<br />

to farmers, the perennials need to be directly<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>itable, <strong>with</strong>out consider<strong>in</strong>g the benefits <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> prevention. (Alternatively, the <strong>in</strong>direct or

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