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Dealing with salinity in Wheatbelt Valleys - Department of Water

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Pannell<br />

been conducted for the Central, Eastern or<br />

Northern <strong>Wheatbelt</strong>.<br />

Table 2 shows the <strong>in</strong>frastructure assets “at risk” <strong>in</strong><br />

Western Australia by 2020 as estimated by the<br />

National Land and <strong>Water</strong> Resources Audit (2001)<br />

Table 2: Physical <strong>in</strong>frastructure at risk from dryland <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> <strong>in</strong> Western Australia by 2020, based on<br />

predicted groundwater trends and “best guess” future land use.<br />

Asset Quantity at risk by 2020<br />

Highways (km) 840<br />

Primary roads (km) 745<br />

Secondary roads (km) 1,425<br />

M<strong>in</strong>or roads (km) 13,650<br />

Rail (km) 1,490<br />

In the National Land and <strong>Water</strong> Resources Audit<br />

(2001) report, costs <strong>of</strong> these and other impacts<br />

were reported for WA <strong>in</strong> a way which made<br />

<strong>in</strong>terpretation difficult. Nevertheless, the results<br />

<strong>in</strong>dicated that costs due to road damage will be the<br />

biggest s<strong>in</strong>gle cost due to <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong> <strong>in</strong> this state.<br />

Flood risk<br />

Increased flood risks have been studied for only a<br />

small number <strong>of</strong> case studies (Bowman & Ruprecht<br />

2000). Extrapolat<strong>in</strong>g from these, George et al.<br />

(1999) concluded that, <strong>with</strong> the predicted two- to<br />

four-fold <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> area <strong>of</strong> wheatbelt land <strong>with</strong><br />

shallow watertables, there will be at least a tw<strong>of</strong>old<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> flood flows.<br />

There has been no economic analysis <strong>of</strong> this<br />

additional flood risk or its management. One<br />

question is whether the costs <strong>of</strong> floods will be<br />

sufficient to justify major revegetation <strong>of</strong><br />

catchments. Based on a consideration <strong>of</strong> the large<br />

areas over which flood waters can be collected <strong>in</strong><br />

wheatbelt catchments, and the occasional nature<br />

<strong>of</strong> floods, my hypothesis would be that flood risk<br />

will provide only small to modest additional<br />

<strong>in</strong>centives for establishment <strong>of</strong> perennials. It may<br />

be more efficient to construct eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g works<br />

near to flood prone assets. Further economic<br />

studies to exam<strong>in</strong>e these issues would be useful.<br />

– 8 –<br />

Intangibles<br />

Environment<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to George et al. (1999), <strong>in</strong> Western<br />

Australia, <strong>with</strong>out massive <strong>in</strong>tervention, most or all<br />

<strong>of</strong> the wetland, dampland and woodland<br />

communities <strong>in</strong> the lower halves <strong>of</strong> catchments will<br />

be lost to <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong>. There are at least 450 plant<br />

species and an unknown number <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vertebrates<br />

which occur only <strong>in</strong> these environments and are at<br />

high risk <strong>of</strong> ext<strong>in</strong>ction (State Sal<strong>in</strong>ity Council 2000;<br />

Keighery 2000). National estimates by the<br />

National Land and <strong>Water</strong> Resources Audit (2001)<br />

are that by 2050, there will be a high <strong>sal<strong>in</strong>ity</strong><br />

hazard for 2,000,000 ha <strong>of</strong> remnant and planted<br />

perennial vegetation, 41,000 km <strong>of</strong> streams or lake<br />

perimeter, and 130 important wetlands.<br />

Economists have taken an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong><br />

environmental impacts such as these. One body <strong>of</strong><br />

work attempts to place dollar values on <strong>in</strong>tangible<br />

impacts such as these (Van Bueren & Bennett<br />

2001). My view is that this is fraught <strong>with</strong> the<br />

greatest difficulties, and probably makes only<br />

modest contributions to the decisions we need to<br />

make about these assets. Nevertheless<br />

economists can make an important contribution to<br />

these decisions by quantify<strong>in</strong>g accurately the direct<br />

and <strong>in</strong>direct costs to the public and private sectors<br />

<strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> protection <strong>of</strong> environmental assets.

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