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Just to put minds at rest that manufacturing, like the construction industry, is not<br />

entirely the wrong horse; in 1976 visitors to Cyprus for more than one day were<br />

stili only 70% of their 1973 level. They were only as high as this because 43.2% of<br />

those registered as tourists were Lebanese Christian refugees who briefly stopped<br />

over in Cyprus on their way to other destinations 45 .<br />

Figure 5.9 Percentage change in employment on previous year, by broad<br />

sector: manufacturing & tourism, 1971-1982.<br />

1971 1972 1973 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982<br />

= manufacturing<br />

EU Tracie & tourism*<br />

-30% -<br />

+As no superate catagory for tourism exista in officiai historical data, the<br />

1968 ISIC catagory: wholesale & retai! trade, restaurants & hôtels, is<br />

used as a proxy.<br />

Source: Rep. of Cyprus. "Historical Data on the Economy of Cyprus, 1960-91." Nicosia: Dept. of Statistica & Research, pp. 182-83.<br />

As a conséquence of 1974 however, employment in tourism had plummeted. From<br />

the deeper trough of 1975, average growth of 10% followed the influx of wealthy<br />

Lebanese escapees, bringing with them valuable foreign exchange. As argued<br />

earlier, the growth from a higher base in manufacturing employment is considérable<br />

at 17%. Over the next three cruciai years before the second oil shock, growth in<br />

employment in manufacturing, a sector already accounting for 18% of employment<br />

(compared to 7% in the construction industry and 5% in hôtels and restaurants) is<br />

more significant than tourism despite the saving grace of the Lebanese influx.<br />

According to another (essentially Keynesian) argument, employment generation was<br />

45 Republic of Cyprus. 1978. Economie Report 1976. Nicosia: Dept. of Statistics and Research,<br />

Ministry of Finance, p. 8.<br />

248

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