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minor fluctuations. By 1980 however, the tax burden had risen to the equivalent of<br />

17% of GDP and three years later it had broken the 20% threshold, where it stayed<br />

(see Figure 2.19). Longer term, the costs of restructuring were passed on to the<br />

domestic tax payer.<br />

Source: Rep. Of Cyprus. 1994. Historical Data on the Econony of Cyprus 1960-1991, pp. 41-42,143-144.<br />

1974 appears to be a watershed in terms of the Republic's economic structure and<br />

its foreign trade. As a consequence of the loss of key natural resources, the<br />

economy rapidly modernised. In some ways we have a story that looks a little like<br />

the Dutch disease 59<br />

in reverse. The loss of natural resources in Cyprus seemed to<br />

make industry more competitive. Following the loss of two thirds of its resources 60<br />

the Greek-Cypriot economy relocated itself around the urban sector. In the period<br />

immediately following those losses, the traditional sectors of the economy<br />

(essentially the primary sector) experienced rapid and permanent decline (see<br />

Figures 2.6, 2.8 & 2.17) while the secondary and tertiary sectors of the economy<br />

59 The exploitation of natural resources (in the case of Holland, natural gas) precipitates the decline of<br />

other industries as the new industry pays higher wages to attract staff, pushing up wages in other<br />

sectors, and making them less competitive. See Corden, W.M. and Neary, J.P. 1982. "Booming Sector<br />

and De-industrialisation in a Small Open Economy", in the Economic Journal, Vol. 92, pp. 825-848.<br />

There are also foreign exchange and interest rate consequences (of the Dutch disease) which are not<br />

relevant in the Cyprus case because of its statutory interest rate ceiling and the fact that its currency is<br />

fixed (against a trade weighted basket of currencies) rather than floating.<br />

60 Wilson R. 1992, Cyprus and the International Economy. Basingstoke: Macmillan, p.32.<br />

97

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