23.11.2014 Views

Download (28Mb) - LSE Theses Online

Download (28Mb) - LSE Theses Online

Download (28Mb) - LSE Theses Online

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

more similar than the group of économies initially picked on the basis of their<br />

structural similarity (see Tables 6.3, 6.4 and 6.5). Generally ali of the peer<br />

économies had, like Cyprus, large but declining agricultural sectors in 1960, small<br />

but growing industriai sectors and large but still rapidly expanding service sectors.<br />

The Micro-Economies are however, unsurprisingly, the most similarly open to<br />

international trade, measuring total imports and exports as a percentage of national<br />

income (variable 8). Simply because of their limited resource base, they would be<br />

expected to be very open to international trade as they are wholly dépendent on<br />

trade for their survival. A low coefficient of variation for the eighth variable must<br />

therefore reflect structure, and in this case size rather than policy, a factor which<br />

also contributes to the even closer corrélations in the contribution of the service<br />

sector, partly a function of size and perhaps increasingly location rather than simply<br />

policy or stage of development. Cyprus finds itself exactly in the middle of all<br />

eleven économies in terms of openness to international trade in the 1951-60 period.<br />

Essentially it is located at the bottom of the Micro Economies scale and at the top<br />

end of the MDM économies (see Figures 6.10 and 6.19).<br />

The divergence in the government share of national income in 1960 (Table 6.3,<br />

variable 9) is greatest for the Micro Economies and lowest for the Regional Subgroup,<br />

though the différence between the latter and the World Bank's MDM is far<br />

from being statistically significant. A significant convergence in this indicator for<br />

the Micro Economies and the Regional Sub-Group (Table 6.4) would imply that<br />

both groups were likely to benefit or suffer from similar policy influences. The<br />

Regional Sub-Group converges from an average government share of GDP in 1960<br />

of 19% to 16% in 1980. With the Micro Economies, however, convergence is in<br />

the other direction, more rather than less government with the average government<br />

share of GDP rising from 14% in 1960 to 16% in 1980. As expected, Israel and<br />

Turkey's divergence from the norm contributes to the divergence of the "More<br />

Developed Mediterranean" économies between 1960 and 1980 (Table 6.3 and 6.4) .<br />

Again as expected, Israel's government share of GDP is at the far end of the<br />

329

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!