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share of National Income to something approaching the 1963 figure 17 . The further
assumption is that income subsequently grows at an equal rate. The calculation
using 1960-73 data and again determining a trend by using an ordinary least squares
approach on a semi-log scale, gives the considerably higher annual growth rate of
7.15% (with a standard error of 0.0031).
Figure 6.4 Projected all-Cypriot GNP compared with actual Greek and Turkish-
Cypriot income after 1973.
C£l,200
t
C£1,000 --
C£800 --
I Rep. of Cyprus GNP
I Projectcd all-iiland GNP
g; C£600 --
u
C£400
C£200
I 'I '1
C£0 FH 1 /
/
'I 'I
' Greck Cypriot. (GC) GNP
• Turkisll Cypriol (TC) GNP
Projectcd TC share CCL par.
' Projectcd GC share
Source: GC data: "Statiatical Abstract»" 1993, TC data: Bicak, H.A. 1993.
17 By 1963, 33% of the highest grade Civil Servant, 27%, 26%, 23%, 18% and 27% of other grades
were Turkish Cypriot (Attalides 1977. op. cit., p. 82). Turkish Cypriot share of public sector
employment stili fell short of the Constitutional requirement of 30% at ail levels (H.M.S.O. 1960.
The Cyprus Constitution: Part VII, Chp. 1, Article 123). It is assumed here that much of their loss of
income in 1964 reflects the loss of employment in the public sector and that had an agreement been
reached in the inter-communal talks in late 1973 (Attalides 1977. op. cit., p. xi.), income from
public sector employment would have considerably boosted the Turkish Cypriot share of National
Income, considering that they represented 18% of the population.
% change in employment by sector on
119631196411965
primary \ % -\% -1%
secondary 4% -5% 2%
tertiary 1%|-12%| 8%
Source: Rep. ofCyp. 1993. "Labour Statistics
1991". Nicosia, p.31.
The table above shows the immediate conséquences on employment of the breakdown of the
constitution in 1963. It is generally acknowledged that most employment losses were Turkish Cypriot
and, as is indicated above, 69% of those losses were in the tertiary sector. It was the public sector
(government and the utilities) which provided the majority of Turkish Cypriot tertiary sector
employment. And if income from employment, rather than numbers employed, were used as the
criteria, evidence suggests that losses would have been even more heavily concentrated in the tertiary
sector.
300