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Figure 6.10 Degree ofopenness in the Micro Economies; Imports & exports as a percentage of GDP, 1951-60. Malta Trinidad Barbados Fiji* Mauritius Cyprus Sauree: IBRD, "World Tables 1971". & Tobago *I'ijian data from 1931-3 only Of the policy indicators, investment rates have long been pereeived in varying degrees to be strongly correlated with economic growth 41 . In Figure 6.11 below, which as far as possible uses Summers and Heston's "Penn World Tables", Cyprus is seen to have the highest investment Ievels of ali the Micro Economies analysed here. Much of this investment may have had less direct economic potential than investment elsewhere, as this was the period when Britain built two large bases in Cyprus to conform with its policy reversai of a "base in Cyprus rather than Cyprus as a base". However all things being equal, the higher the level of investment, the higher future growth and, given the fact that some of the investment during the period contributed to Cypriot economic development, and that Cyprus had investment levels that compare favourably with this group of peers, future growth should be as fast as the group's mean growth rate. 41 The World Bank's cross-economy regression results showed investment in physical capital to be the single strongest policy indicator effecting growth. For every 10% points of GDP of increased investment, the economy grew by 0.5 %, compared with the second highest single factor, primary and secondary enrolment rates, where the increase was 0.3 % on the same basis. ("Evidence from Cross-Economy Regressions of per capita income growth", IBRD. 1993. The Ëast Asian Miracle: Economic Growth and Public Policv. NY: OUP. pp. 48-54). 311
Figure 6.11 Micro Economies; average investment levels as a percentage of GDP, 1950-63. "Data bei are L960 far Butsdo Se. Fiji had to be Rcautroctcd rning the trend of the différent» between PWT Se IBRD chta. where both data icts weie a Villi ble. Cyprus Fiji* Malta** Trinidad Mauritius Barbados* &Tobago Scurce: Summen & Heatou Pom Wocld Table« 5.6, IBRD "WorVl TitJc»" (vuiom), UN Ycaibook» of National Acconnl» Statistici (vuiout). More recently, levels of human capital development have increasingly gained significance in studies of economic growth. It is widely acknowledged that human capital development is difficult to define, difficult to measure and even more difficult with which to make cross country comparison. Here (Figure 6.12) the World Bank's precedence is followed again 42 , with the total gross primary and secondary school enrolment ratio taken to indicate some roughly comparable intercountry levels of economically significant investment in people 43 . 42 ibid. 43 In "Evidence from Cross-Economy Regressions of per capita income growth", (ibid., p. 48) the authors argue that: "Our measure of educational attainment are primary and secondary enrolment rates in 1960, the area of human capital accumulation in which the HPAE's (Hi'gh-performing Asian économies) showed a substantial différence from other low- and middle-income économies. " 312
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to th
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ABSTRACT This thesis examines the e
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Table Of Contents Page Change in ec
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List Of Figures 2.27 Revenue from t
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List Of Figures 5.25 Main destinati
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List Of Figures 7.8 The degree of o
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List Of Tables 6.7 All island, Gree
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This thesis will examine the econom
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Vassiliou's classic work 5 publishe
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As many questions raised by economi
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Figure 1.1 The structure of recent
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In terms of the topic of this thesi
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political landmark coincides with a
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were the mechanisms which encourage
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however, Chapter 5 concentrates on
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Defining the title The first priori
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such? Is northern Cyprus simply run
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unlike Greece in 1923, were already
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itself as having been literally und
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economic history, Christodoulou's s
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incurred as a resuit of eonfl ict.
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Christodoulou has concentrated his
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any credit for successful economic
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anking technology, administrative c
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(which usually has a regressive imp
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contribution did labour remittances
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having been inspired by Zetter's in
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econstruction also provided a means
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Conclusion In analysing the extent
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he drew distinct analogies with the
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in Cyprus. The main objective is a
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The war proved a watershed in many
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Uruguay, Japan, Trinidad and Tobago
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financial, property and business se
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By 1960 exports represented over 20
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Table 2.1 Domestic Exports FOB in 1
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the period (1960-73), the différen
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Figure 2.4 Principal exports as a p
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producing 12% of GDP. Tourism (rest
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considerably more than Turkey, whos
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income. Mining and quarrying (now m
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Figure 2.10 Principal exports as a
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Figure 2.12 The Destination of the
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Figure 2.14 Ambiguous indicators: T
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Figure 2.15 Sìze of manufacturing
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By 1980 the economy of the Republic
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The scale of the disruption in the
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Whether taking the optimists approa
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financing from financial markets pi
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grew rapidly. In the immediate afte
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One of the major problems facing th
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coming, only concerning policy make
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with particular bottlenecks affecti
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"We attributed this finding to the
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aiding the recovery from the coup a
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employment: rapidly rising real ear
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Until the intervention of public fi
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to pick the Republic of Cyprus as t
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of offshore companies registered in
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Figure 2.27 Revenue from the offsho
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Figure 2.29 The changing compositio
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The structure of the economy, the c
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CHAPTER 3. The foundations of Takis
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Famagusta enclaves would be over-ru
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The historical context of separate
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generally concentrated in the lower
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agreed Constitution. Seemingly Clar
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séparation of the communities bega
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UN. 37 Some additional supplies mus
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Seemingly, by 1970 the Nicosia encl
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was made on the basis of a fixed in
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derived from Turkish transfer payme
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Patrick has offered a more complica
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spare parts and maintenance materia
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Emphasising the growing divisions b
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Chamber, Rauf Denktash, said people
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Figure 3.2 Thepossible economic eff
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produced by them rises significantl
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Committee" was the area military co
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February 1975 the latter bodies set
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The first five-year pian, published
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CHAPTER 4. The construction of a Tu
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Whilst the Turkish-Cypriot leadersh
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of supply, and/or marketing, in key
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shipment of 2000 tons of foodstuffs
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Eti still operateci out of Nicosia,
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institutions in northern Cyprus amo
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with multipurpose co-operatives, a
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A few new co-operatives were formed
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loans. Savings Banks do have access
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espectively. The Famagusta branch w
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Cypriot) Government in the 1960s, t
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increasing costs 31 . This is perha
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packages imported raffinate, supply
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a monopoly respectively. Where ther
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Evkaf is an Islamic organisation fo
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Evkaf had a largely obscure economi
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Meanwhile a little noticed phenomen
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After the summer of 1974, the Turki
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monitored Ledra Place check-point,
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the early eighties, when Turkish ar
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Figure 4.3 Number of tourists from
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the situation that had existed prio
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stay arrivais or diminish with the
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competing with the longer establish
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flexibility of family business stru
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Ltd., Turkish-Cypriots eventually g
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dominateci by: textiles, footwear a
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force of national cohésion, change
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Figure 4.9 Main Citrus Exporters in
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Ismail Bozkurt (who secured 32.1% o
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Table 4.9 Citrus exports from north
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Ultimately the failure to act on pr
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CHAFTER 5: Re-establishing economic
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prospects of their respective de fa
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Figure 5.1 Change in Cypriot GDP as
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{0 perceive the de facto situation
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Turkey maintains that her objective
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parliament during the unstable peri
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case study, he argues that given en
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Specifically, it is analysis of nat
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imports (Figure 5.5). The extent to
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(which includes the increasingly im
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If "a leading sector in the process
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Just to put minds at rest that manu
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encouraged private sector action, t
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Figure 5.13 Gross domestic fixed ca
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major economic force, one that was
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they account for around a third of
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dominates international transfer pa
Page 261 and 262: a "development resource" 54 , rathe
Page 263 and 264: able to spearhead a revival aided,
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Page 267 and 268: overwhelming dependence on a genera
Page 269 and 270: In the difficult times that followe
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Page 273 and 274: Figure 5.20 Orange production as a
Page 275 and 276: e exchanged for new "TRNC" (or, as
Page 277 and 278: Unlike the vineyards where most of
Page 279 and 280: Although not important in the initi
Page 281 and 282: Having said this, constant improvem
Page 283 and 284: compensation arrangements in the no
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Page 287 and 288: Figure 5.24 Proportion of citrus ex
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Page 291 and 292: seem more politically motivateci an
Page 293 and 294: Figure 6.1 Percentage change in GNP
Page 295 and 296: initially. The more immediate probl
Page 297 and 298: historical phenomena (large externa
Page 299 and 300: It has been argued that if politics
Page 301 and 302: share of National Income to somethi
Page 303 and 304: Figure 6.6 Communal income in 1980,
Page 305 and 306: Selecting peers as proxies for pan-
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Page 309 and 310: was that compatible data should be
Page 311: Figure 6.9 Micro Economies; average
Page 315 and 316: Figure 6.13 The level of government
Page 317 and 318: Figure 6.14 "More Developed Medìte
Page 319 and 320: Figure 6.17 "More DevelopedMediterr
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Page 323 and 324: Figure 6.22 Structure of production
Page 325 and 326: Figure 6.26 Degree of openness in t
Page 327 and 328: economic growth 49 (variables 6-9:
Page 329 and 330: implication, developmental différe
Page 331 and 332: spectrum in 1980 at 38%. Perhaps le
Page 333 and 334: namely investment rates 54 (in phys
Page 335 and 336: instruments, the justification for
Page 337 and 338: Figure 6.28 Average annual growth i
Page 339 and 340: Figure 6.29 How Cyprusfared in 1980
Page 341 and 342: Figure 6.30 Total Cypriot income 19
Page 343 and 344: o.zö; may reveai someimng 01 ine e
Page 345 and 346: developments elsewhere. The relativ
Page 347 and 348: unified economy) of 1963, Cyprus is
Page 349 and 350: CHAPTER 7. Conclusion 348 Comparati
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Page 353 and 354: So it is worth looking again at the
Page 355 and 356: stand out however, revealing enough
Page 357 and 358: Figure 7.3 Gross domestic investmen
Page 359 and 360: Figure 7.5 "TRNC netforeign trade a
Page 361 and 362: Figure 7.8 The degree of openness i
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control. There seems to be ampie ex
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The role of tourism in the economic
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seem to be able to grow in line wit
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Comparisons throughout this thesis
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The Cyprus Mail Hellenic Group. Nic
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I.M.F. International Financial Stat
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1982. Fourth Emergency Economic Act
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"Turkish Federated State of Kibris"
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leadership of the two communities o
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"administrations" and key economic
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Bicak, H.A. (June) 1990. "The Impac
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Hudson, J. and Dyniotou-Jensen M. 1
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Mcdonald, R. 1989. The Problem of C
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Solsten, E. (ed.) 1993. Cvprus: A c
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