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CAPITALISM'S ACHILLES HEEL Dirty Money and How to

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“<br />

CHAPTER 4<br />

MAGNITUDES AND<br />

MISUNDERSTANDINGS<br />

THIS IS a number no one wants <strong>to</strong> know.” Jack Blum, the most aggressive<br />

American lawyer chasing dirty money, is lamenting with me the lack of<br />

official attempts <strong>to</strong> estimate illegal financial flows. Because hundreds of billions<br />

are known <strong>to</strong> stream annually out of other countries in<strong>to</strong> western coffers,<br />

U.S. <strong>and</strong> European governments are guided by the old adage, “Mum’s<br />

the word.”<br />

HOW MUCH MONEY?<br />

There is no place in international financial statistics where you can find<br />

“dirty money” or “laundered proceeds” or “flight capital” or “trade mispricing”<br />

or any account remotely suggesting such figures. Most illicit flows are<br />

either disguised or invisible, as shown in the <strong>Dirty</strong>-<strong>Money</strong> User Manual,<br />

<strong>and</strong> therefore hard data are nonexistent.<br />

There are two ways <strong>to</strong> produce assessments of global dirty money: <strong>to</strong>p<br />

down <strong>and</strong> bot<strong>to</strong>m up. By <strong>to</strong>p down I mean approximating dirty money as a<br />

percentage of global GDP. By bot<strong>to</strong>m up I mean constructing a <strong>to</strong>tal from<br />

component parts added <strong>to</strong>gether.<br />

First, the <strong>to</strong>p-down approach. In 1998, Michel Camdessus, then<br />

managing direc<strong>to</strong>r of the IMF, said in a speech in Paris that “estimates of<br />

the present scale of money laundering transactions are almost beyond<br />

imagination—2 <strong>to</strong> 5 percent of global GDP would probably be a consensus<br />

range.” 1 I was delighted that, finally, someone had mentioned a figure.<br />

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