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CAPITALISM'S ACHILLES HEEL Dirty Money and How to

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over that line, it becomes very difficult <strong>to</strong> argue that the debt instrument remains<br />

intact. In my opinion, both the Paris Club of official credi<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>and</strong> the<br />

London Club of private credi<strong>to</strong>rs have, by their own actions, weakened, diluted,<br />

<strong>and</strong> largely lost the legitimacy of their claims against the severely <strong>and</strong><br />

moderately indebted. When I hear about “debt forgiveness,” my question is,<br />

who will forgive the credi<strong>to</strong>rs?<br />

Looking <strong>to</strong> the Future<br />

Spreading Prosperity 359<br />

In my s<strong>to</strong>ry I <strong>to</strong>ld how, after clearing off our mutual debt claims, we went<br />

on <strong>to</strong> do many times the volume of business we had done earlier. Can you<br />

imagine a market of nearly five billion people released from a $1.5 trillion<br />

debt they can never repay anyway? <strong>How</strong> many cell phones or computers or<br />

textbooks or vaccines will that buy from the West? <strong>How</strong> much foreign exchange<br />

will that leave in the country <strong>to</strong> promote investment? <strong>How</strong> many<br />

jobs in commerce <strong>and</strong> industry will it create? <strong>How</strong> much will debt relief<br />

contribute <strong>to</strong> strengthening fragile democracies? <strong>How</strong> much better off will<br />

western countries be because non-western countries are more productive?<br />

These are the kinds of questions that a UN panel can address. Look at a<br />

world relieved of this mutual burden <strong>and</strong> recrimination <strong>and</strong> tell us if we can<br />

<strong>to</strong>gether have a brighter future.<br />

Having said all this, outright cancellation is probably not the most effective<br />

approach. Debt offset is preferable, as other groups have also suggested.<br />

Increase domestic expenditures on education <strong>and</strong> health, <strong>and</strong> that<br />

will serve as an offset of an equivalent amount of foreign debt. Here’s how it<br />

should work.<br />

Take the central government’s annual expenditure on education <strong>and</strong><br />

health as a base line. Perhaps an average over the most recent three years<br />

can serve. Increase expenditures on education <strong>and</strong> health (perhaps also<br />

housing <strong>and</strong> conservation) above this base line, <strong>and</strong> the added amount<br />

spent internally on these services will cancel an equal amount of debt externally.<br />

The foreign debt gets liquidated through exp<strong>and</strong>ed social expenditures<br />

domestically. Annual expenditures would be inflation adjusted. The<br />

local World Bank office can moni<strong>to</strong>r the process. Paris Club official credi<strong>to</strong>rs<br />

take the lead in setting up the arrangement, <strong>and</strong> London Club private<br />

credi<strong>to</strong>rs are subject <strong>to</strong> a “cram down” by the official credi<strong>to</strong>rs, that is, no

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