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GENERAL MEETING DRAFT - Bankier.pl

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Utility value is determined by discounting financial flows at a rate that accounts for current valuations of<br />

the time value of money and the risks specific to the asset. For each CGU, given the varying levels of<br />

risk of the respective fields of operation, specific, risk-differentiated premiums were used for each<br />

individual entity or operational area. The discount rates include a country risk component.<br />

Estimates used to determine cash flows and their growth rates are particularly com<strong>pl</strong>ex because of the<br />

uncertainties which surrounded and still surround the current and prospective macroeconomic scenario<br />

and the situation of the financial markets and the real economy.<br />

This scenario was defined with an appropriate level of caution on account of the continuing tensions in the<br />

real economy and financial markets. In fact, the recession and extreme weakness of the major economies<br />

in which the Group operates began in 2008 and continued throughout 2009. As for the CEE countries, the<br />

economic environment remained difficult, with negative GDP growth rates in almost all countries of the<br />

region.<br />

From the second half of 2009 some positive signs, such as a lower foreign deficit, suggest that the most<br />

critical situation is now over, even if conservative estimates lead us to believe that a return to significant<br />

growth rates may only be possible from 2011.<br />

The impact of the recession in the Euro Area on the credit market intensified during 2009. Bank lending<br />

and borrowing rates declined shar<strong>pl</strong>y throughout 2009, reflecting the reduction of the official rates by the<br />

ECB. The forecast is positive for direct deposits, reflecting the policy of the banks to strengthen their<br />

liquidity profile and the persistence of high-risk aversion by households, while loans are expected to<br />

weaken gradually (both in the private and business sectors).<br />

Due to the instability that continued to affect the financial environment, the asset management and<br />

custody sector, already under great pressure during 2008, recorded further declines though at a slower<br />

pace than the negative peaks of the fourth quarter 2008.<br />

The Board of Directors has approved the valuation procedure (impairment test) based on the financial<br />

flow estimates and additional assumptions, developed by the Management.<br />

2009 CONSOLIDATED REPORTS AND ACCOUNTS<br />

262

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