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GENERAL MEETING DRAFT - Bankier.pl

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Discount rates of flows<br />

The table below summarizes the key assumptions adopted by management in calculating the recoverable<br />

amount of CGU:<br />

CGU<br />

2009 CONSOLIDATED REPORTS AND ACCOUNTS<br />

Initial discount rate<br />

after taxes (Ke)<br />

Final discount rate after<br />

taxes (Ke)<br />

Nominal growth rate for<br />

the calculation of<br />

Terminal Value<br />

Retail 8.70% 10.55% 2.00%<br />

CIB 9.94% 10.55% 2.00%<br />

Private Banking 8.90% 10.55% 2.00%<br />

Asset Management 10.18% 10.55% 2.00%<br />

Central Eastern Europe ( 1 ) 16.35% 12.18% 2.00%<br />

of which: JSC Ukrsotsbank (USB) 26.67% 12.50% 2.00%<br />

of which: JSC ATF Bank (ATF) 15.37% 12.50% 2.00%<br />

Poland’s Markets 12.27% 11.00% 2.00%<br />

(1) The discount rate for the Central Eastern Europe CGU is the weighted arithmetic mean of the discount rates used for individual countries<br />

belonging to the individual sector.<br />

As can be seen from the table above, future financial flows were discounted using a conservative<br />

estimate of the discount rate, incorporating the various risk factors linked to the business sector into the<br />

equity cost (Ke). The discount rate is a nominal rate, net of taxes.<br />

In particular, the cost of share capital for the Group and the differentiated cost for each of the sectors are<br />

the sum of:<br />

� Risk-free rate: swap rate of the eurozone at 5 years, average of the last 6 years. The horizon of 6<br />

years was chosen to reflect the average length of the economic cycle in the eurozone;<br />

� Debt risk premium: average Credit Default Swap for the last 6 years paid by UniCredit;<br />

� Equity risk premium: determined using the option-based model, based on the volatility of<br />

UniCredit shares over the last 6 years. For the sectors, the average volatility over the last 6 years<br />

for banks operating mainly in the same area was used, also taking into account the benefits of<br />

diversification. The latter was also determined by considering the variance-covariance matrix of<br />

quotations for the groups of banks used for the determination of the risk premium.<br />

The cost of share capital, differentiated by each CEE country, is given by the sum of:<br />

� Risk-free rate: local currency swap rate at 5 years, average of the last 6 years. Absent when the<br />

interbank rate was considered more liquid and representative;<br />

� Country risk premium: average Credit Default Swap paid by the country over the past 6 years (or<br />

a shorter period in the absence of a sufficiently long time series);<br />

� Own equity risk premium: determined using the option-based model and based on the volatility of<br />

UniCredit shares over the last 6 years.<br />

The cost of capital used in the discounting of cash flows results in a defined value for each CGU. This<br />

value is calculated as an average of the cost of capital in a sam<strong>pl</strong>ing of European banks based on the<br />

same methodology used for the cost of the initial capital of the Group, extending the expiration of the riskfree<br />

rate and the 5 to 10 year CDS. The cost of terminal value capital utilized varies depending on<br />

whether the CGU is located in a Western European country, in an Eastern European country that will<br />

become part of the euro zone by 2013, or in another country.<br />

266

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