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GENERAL MEETING DRAFT - Bankier.pl

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The main risk factors are those indicated above, but there are other risk profiles.<br />

The Group has broadened the types of risk analyzed in order to achieve a more accurate measurement of<br />

the risks assumed. At the same time, methods have been established for combining risks to reach an<br />

overall measurement of risk by integrating individual risks through the calculation of internal capital.<br />

To this end, the Group has identified risks inherent in the Group’s asset and liability positions and its<br />

operations, singling out the following types of risk in addition to the credit, market, operational and liquidity<br />

risks already mentioned:<br />

� Business risk: this derives from a reduction of margins not due to market, credit or operational<br />

risks, but to changes in the competitive environment and in customer behavior. Specifically, it<br />

mainly concerns future changes in margins and their impact on the Group’s value and<br />

capitalization levels.<br />

� Real estate risk: this risk is defined as the potential losses from negative fluctuations in the<br />

market value of the real estate portfolio owned by the Group. Real estate provided as collateral<br />

by customers is obviously not included.<br />

� Financial investment risk: this represents the potential loss in value of non-speculative financial<br />

investments made in non-Group companies which are not included in the scope of consolidation.<br />

Trading book positions are not taken into consideration.<br />

� Strategic risk: this arises from unexpected changes in the competitive environment, from the<br />

failure to recognize ongoing trends in the banking sector or from making incorrect conclusions<br />

regarding these trends. The impacts of decisions that are detrimental to long-term objectives and<br />

that may be difficult to reverse are also considered.<br />

� Reputational risk: this is the current or future risk of a decline in profits or capital as a result of a<br />

negative perception of the bank’s image by customers, counterparties, bank shareholders,<br />

investors or the regulator.<br />

The second step in extending the risk profile consists of identifying the best analysis method. Certain<br />

categories lend themselves to quantitative analysis using statistical methods, while others require a more<br />

qualitative approach such as scenario analysis. Quantitative measurement is carried out using:<br />

� Estimates of operating capital and<br />

� Stress Tests.<br />

Economic capital is the capital the Group needs to hold to bear risks associated with its positions and<br />

operations and is calculated in relation to both individual and combined risk categories consistent with the<br />

target rating. Based on the approaches described, the Group has decided to measure business, real<br />

estate and financial investment risk using economic capital since the amount of capital determined may<br />

be used to cover potential losses. On the other hand, strategic risk is analyzed using scenarios that also<br />

arrive at an estimate of potential losses in certain contexts, but is not included in the estimate of the<br />

combined risk profile.<br />

The multi-faceted nature of risk necessitates Stress Test analyses in addition to the measurement of<br />

operating capital. This is done not only to estimate losses in certain scenarios, but also to understand the<br />

impact of the factors causing these losses.<br />

Stress Tests are performed for individual and combined risk categories by simulating combined changes<br />

in risk factors in order to support the estimate of combined operating capital. The combined Stress Test<br />

estimate deals both with the amount of individual risks, as well as with the decreased diversification<br />

benefit in crisis conditions.<br />

2009 CONSOLIDATED REPORTS AND ACCOUNTS<br />

472

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