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Final Comprehensive Conservation Plan - U.S. Fish and Wildlife ...

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Hakalau Forest National <strong>Wildlife</strong> Refuge<br />

<strong>Comprehensive</strong> <strong>Conservation</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

An increase in heavy storms <strong>and</strong> surf will result in increased flood risks, sedimentation, <strong>and</strong> impeded<br />

drainage in Hawai‘i (DBEDT <strong>and</strong> DOH 1998). Change in rainfall patterns will affect the success of<br />

forest restoration as well as existing protected habitats <strong>and</strong> stream resources (e.g., may cause<br />

movement of or degradation of these resources). In particular, the low-elevation Refuge areas will be<br />

vulnerable to changes in storm frequency, intensity, <strong>and</strong> directionality. These events have the<br />

potential to denude vegetation <strong>and</strong> impact habitat for wildlife <strong>and</strong> plants.<br />

Ecological Responses to Climate Change<br />

Evidence suggests that recent climatic changes have affected a broad range of individual species <strong>and</strong><br />

populations in both the marine <strong>and</strong> terrestrial environment. Organisms have responded by changes in<br />

(1) phenology (timing of seasonal activities) <strong>and</strong> physiology; (2) range <strong>and</strong> distribution;<br />

(3) community composition <strong>and</strong> interaction; <strong>and</strong> (4) ecosystem structure <strong>and</strong> dynamics (Walther et<br />

al. 2002). The reproductive physiology <strong>and</strong> population dynamics of amphibians <strong>and</strong> reptiles are<br />

highly influenced by environmental conditions such as temperature <strong>and</strong> humidity. For example, sea<br />

turtle sex is determined by the temperature of the nest environment; thus, higher temperatures could<br />

result in a higher female to male ratio (Baker et al. 2006). In addition, increases in atmospheric<br />

temperatures during seabird nesting seasons will also have an effect on seabirds <strong>and</strong> water birds<br />

(Duffy 1993).<br />

Warming has also caused species to shift toward the poles or higher altitudes <strong>and</strong> changes in climatic<br />

conditions can alter community composition. For example, increases in nitrogen availability can<br />

favor those plant species that respond to nitrogen rises (Vitousek 1994). Similarly, increases in CO2<br />

levels can impact plant photosynthetic rates, decrease nutrient levels, <strong>and</strong> lower herbivore weights<br />

(Ehleringer et al. 2002). Although there is uncertainty regarding these trajectories, it is probable that<br />

there will be ecological consequences (Walther et al. 2002).<br />

Climate change has the potential to influence two important ecological issues in the State of Hawai‘i:<br />

endangered species <strong>and</strong> invasive species. An overwhelming majority of U.S. endangered species are<br />

found in the State of Hawai‘i. Species declines have resulted from habitat loss, introduced diseases,<br />

<strong>and</strong> impacts from invasive species. Changes in climate will add an additional threat to the survival of<br />

these species (DBEDT <strong>and</strong> DOH 1998). For example, warmer night temperatures can increase the<br />

rate of respiration for native vegetation, resulting in greater competition from nonnative plants<br />

(Giambelluca 2008). Of particular concern are native forest birds. Climate change may raise the<br />

elevational gradient in which mosquitoes can live. Consequently, current elevations free of<br />

mosquitoes (which protect native forest birds that do not have resistance to avian diseases carried by<br />

mosquitoes) may disappear, leaving forest birds with no mosquito safe habitats.<br />

Furthermore, climate change may enhance existing invasive species issues because alterations in the<br />

environment may increase the dispersal ability of flora or fauna. Species response to climate change<br />

will depend on the life cycle, distribution, dispersal ability, <strong>and</strong> reproduction requirements of the<br />

species (Middleton 2006). However, for invasive weed species on Hawai‘i Isl<strong>and</strong>, climate change<br />

may increase their range <strong>and</strong> expansion into native habitats. In addition to degrading native habitat, a<br />

more concerning result of this effect may be increased wildfires as many of these invasive species<br />

have evolved with fire <strong>and</strong> require fire for their life-history. This issue is of particular concern for the<br />

drier Kona side where the KFU is located. Such an increase in fuel loads would be detrimental to<br />

forest habitats <strong>and</strong> the species dependent on them.<br />

Chapter 3. Physical Environment 3-19

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