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2. Mangatawa catchment consents for earthworks, storm water ...

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These results include climate change, and there<strong>for</strong>e the “existing situation” presented reflects a<br />

lower per<strong>for</strong>mance than would occur under current climate conditions.<br />

The implication of Graph 1 is that the return period <strong>for</strong> a spill will improve from 33% to 13% AEP<br />

<strong>storm</strong> events.<br />

Graph 1 - Top Spill and Bruce Road peak discharges<br />

Top Spill and Bruce Rd - Peak Spill Discharge<br />

[Unmitigated and Mitigated]<br />

90.0<br />

80.0<br />

83.5<br />

Peak flow (m³/s)<br />

70.0<br />

60.0<br />

50.0<br />

40.0<br />

30.0<br />

20.0<br />

19.5<br />

43.8<br />

21.2<br />

56.4<br />

3<strong>2.</strong>4<br />

41.6<br />

10.0<br />

100%<br />

0.0<br />

0.0<br />

10%<br />

1%<br />

Annual Exceedence Probability (AEP)<br />

Mitigated Unmitigated Log. (Unmitigated) Log. (Mitigated)<br />

0%<br />

The volume of discharge across the highway is illustrated in the following graph <strong>for</strong> the mitigation<br />

option.<br />

Graph 2 - Top Spill and Bruce Road discharge volume<br />

Top Spill and Bruce Road - Spill Volume<br />

1,600,000<br />

[Unmitigated and Mitigated]<br />

1,400,000<br />

1,381,735<br />

Volume (m³)<br />

1,200,000<br />

1,000,000<br />

800,000<br />

600,000<br />

563,486<br />

771,933<br />

743,459<br />

400,000<br />

200,000<br />

179,730<br />

189,649<br />

337,339<br />

0<br />

100%<br />

0<br />

10%<br />

1%<br />

Annual Exceedence Probability (AEP)<br />

Mitigated Unmitigated Log. (Unmitigated) Log. (Mitigated)<br />

0%<br />

Beca // 17 March 2009 // Page 14<br />

3932036 // NZ1-1604459-15 0.15 Rev A

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