Travel Demand Model - OKI

Run Number 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15Base Five Drive First vs First Exclude First Linear park AOC all sep. hwy. vs. Walk time: Walk time:Auto K SR2 K Walk Wait fw* = 7.5 Wlk-Only fw* = 5.0 fare cost fare cost cost transit wlkt*=12min. wlkt*=18min.Mode Specific ConstantsDrive Alone 0.000zero & one autos 1.697 1.700 1.702 1.708 1.707 1.705 1.705 1.595 1.597 1.594 1.705 1.698 1.700two+ autos, one worker 3.196 3.200 3.203 3.209 3.208 3.206 3.206 3.053 3.055 3.052 3.206 3.197 3.200two+ autos, one+ workers 2.316 2.319 2.322 2.327 2.326 2.325 2.325 2.182 2.184 2.180 2.324 2.317 2.319Shared Ride 2 -2.327Shared Ride 3+ -3.651zero&one autos, one+ workers -1.523 -1.525 -1.526 -1.528 -1.527 -1.526 -1.526 -1.473 -1.474 -1.473 -1.526 -1.522 -1.523two+ autos, one worker -1.712 -1.714 -1.715 -1.719 -1.718 -1.717 -1.717 -1.648 -1.650 -1.648 -1.717 -1.712 -1.714two+ autos, one+ workers -1.162 -1.164 -1.165 -1.168 -1.168 -1.167 -1.167 -1.102 -1.103 -1.102 -1.167 -1.163 -1.164Walk to Local Bus -0.123zero autos, one+ workers 3.197 3.199 3.233 1.640 2.984 5.396 3.517 3.504 3.241 3.407 3.594 4.166 3.476one auto, one worker 0.863 0.864 0.903 -0.760 0.532 2.943 1.068 0.980 0.709 0.879 1.147 1.675 1.006one auto, one+ workers 2.495 2.499 2.531 0.857 2.110 4.525 2.639 2.567 2.287 2.463 2.721 3.303 2.597two+ autos, one worker 1.017 1.018 1.065 -0.597 0.714 3.112 1.246 1.109 0.833 1.006 1.327 1.886 1.171two+ autos, one+ workers 0.750 0.752 0.794 -0.868 0.441 2.841 0.978 0.872 0.589 0.767 1.060 1.588 0.923P&R to Local Bus -4.032zero autos, one+ workers -2.905 -1.867 -1.810 -3.452 -2.208 0.200 -1.675 -1.686 -1.945 -1.782 -1.599 -0.197 -0.855one auto, one worker -1.911 -0.799 -0.742 -2.430 -1.127 1.308 -0.579 -0.621 -0.890 -0.721 -0.500 0.855 0.247one auto, one+ workers -0.986 0.221 0.265 -1.497 -0.179 2.284 0.385 0.341 0.074 0.241 0.463 1.840 1.302two+ autos, one worker -1.622 -0.424 -0.369 -2.073 -0.768 1.671 -0.216 -0.286 -0.571 -0.392 -0.132 1.270 0.658two+ autos, one+ workers -1.579 -0.377 -0.333 -2.096 -0.820 1.642 -0.259 -0.309 -0.591 -0.414 -0.175 1.277 0.639K&R to Local Bus -5.243zero autos, one+ workers -1.705 -0.685 -0.630 -2.261 -1.015 1.392 -0.483 -0.529 -0.791 -0.626 -0.406 0.948 0.328one auto, one worker -3.957 -2.858 -2.803 -4.482 -3.164 -0.730 -2.616 -2.691 -2.963 -2.792 -2.535 -1.232 -1.800one auto, one+ workers -2.703 -1.501 -1.454 -3.176 -1.851 0.603 -1.292 -1.367 -1.633 -1.466 -1.214 0.127 -0.380two+ autos, one worker -3.449 -2.279 -2.226 -3.918 -2.600 -0.161 -2.048 -2.166 -2.454 -2.273 -1.963 -0.624 -1.192two+ autos, one+ workers -4.036 -2.866 -2.824 -4.566 -3.248 -0.789 -2.688 -2.778 -3.063 -2.884 -2.604 -1.215 -1.810Walk to Express Bus -2.684zero autos, one+ workers 0.193 0.194 0.224 -1.395 -0.057 2.353 0.476 0.473 0.205 0.374 0.555 1.117 0.430one auto, one worker -0.793 -0.793 -0.759 -2.480 -1.160 1.266 -0.616 -0.678 -0.961 -0.783 -0.533 -0.009 -0.684one auto, one+ workers 0.499 0.500 0.531 -1.208 0.073 2.504 0.613 0.555 0.267 0.448 0.698 1.277 0.572two+ autos, one worker -0.639 -0.639 -0.600 -2.352 -1.038 1.391 -0.491 -0.596 -0.894 -0.707 -0.403 0.136 -0.571two+ autos, one+ workers -1.010 -1.009 -0.974 -2.735 -1.450 0.979 -0.901 -0.973 -1.277 -1.086 -0.811 -0.301 -0.965P&R to Express Bus -4.981zero autos, one+ workers -3.047 -2.017 -1.980 -3.732 -2.511 -0.078 -1.976 -1.952 -2.244 -2.059 -1.891 -0.551 -1.181one auto, one worker -3.238 -2.121 -2.090 -3.954 -2.732 -0.259 -2.180 -2.169 -2.479 -2.283 -2.088 -0.738 -1.381one auto, one+ workers -2.037 -0.773 -0.744 -2.600 -1.369 1.096 -0.816 -0.814 -1.120 -0.927 -0.726 0.706 0.125two+ autos, one worker -1.763 -0.563 -0.526 -2.392 -1.135 1.339 -0.574 -0.578 -0.905 -0.698 -0.477 0.865 0.251two+ autos, one+ workers -2.685 -1.490 -1.460 -3.339 -2.085 0.400 -1.521 -1.506 -1.833 -1.626 -1.424 -0.058 -0.677K&R to Express Bus -7.057zero & one autos -4.129 -3.031 -3.000 -4.812 -3.583 -1.126 -3.037 -3.057 -3.363 -3.170 -2.947 -1.640 -2.229two+ autos -6.446 -5.293 -5.265 -7.122 -5.854 -3.372 -5.291 -5.323 -5.652 -5.444 -5.194 -3.915 -4.478Walk to Transitzero autos, one+ workersone auto, one workerone auto, one+ workerstwo+ autos, one workertwo+ autos, one+ workersDrive to Transitzero autos, one+ workersone auto, one workerone auto, one+ workerstwo+ autos, one workertwo+ autos, one+ workersFinal Likelihood Value -4188 -3960 -3959 -3959 -3944 -3916 -3915 -3917 -3909 -3910 -3917 -3912 -3915Rho Squared (Zero) 0.64 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66Rho Squared (Constants) 0.11 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16Wait / In-Vehicle Ratio 6.84 3.03 3.32 3.82 3.80 4.88 4.31 4.67 3.91 3.56 3.60First Wait < fw* / In-Vehicle Ratio -18.33 -1.86 33.09First Wait > fw* / In-Vehicle Ratio 5.19 4.14 3.64Transfer / In-Vehicle Ratio 2.56 1.45 1.27 1.40 1.32 1.55 1.52 1.54 1.32 0.92 1.07Walk / In-Vehicle Ratio 22.37 14.51 15.50 14.53 6.36 4.70 5.27 4.93 6.15 5.31 5.83 5.11Transfer Walk / In-Vehicle RatioWalk Access < wlkt* min / In-Vehicle Ratio 9.55 4.93Walk Access > wlkt* min / In-Vehicle Ratio 2.64 3.64Drive Access Time / In-Vehicle Ratio 10.06 9.81Terminal Time / In-Vehicle RatioImplied Value of Time $2.11 $2.37 $2.16 $2.25 $3.98 $4.63 $4.30 $4.53 $4.40 $5.33 $5.09Implied Value of Time (op. cost) -$6.68 -$7.83 -$6.81Implied Value of Time (park. cost) $2.48 $2.80 $2.58Implied Value of Time (transit fare) $2.82Notes:Runs 14 & 15: parking walk time for auto modes has same coefficient as transit drive43