Travel Demand Model - OKI

OKI/MVRPC Travel Demand Model – Version 6.0Table 4-5 Volume Group Validation Statistics – OKI Council RegionVolume GroupObserved Traffic Estimated Traffic % Error %Obs. Volume VMT Volume VMT Volume VMT RMSEMax. %RMSE0 - 500 389 132,189 137,008 207,902 210,402 57% 54% 206% 200%500 - 1500 1,534 1,553,679 1,128,223 1,635,388 1,171,083 5% 4% 88% 100%1500 - 2500 1,446 2,841,330 1,506,549 2,728,130 1,385,035 -4% -8% 61% 62%2500 - 3500 1,551 4,574,433 2,198,761 4,166,067 1,953,082 -9% -11% 58% 54%3500 - 4500 1,100 4,380,719 1,785,461 3,997,587 1,502,050 -9% -16% 54% 48%4500 - 5500 1,196 5,941,806 2,156,955 5,412,765 1,886,519 -9% -13% 47% 45%5500 - 7000 1,370 8,501,925 3,150,903 8,020,064 2,756,283 -6% -13% 41% 42%7000 - 8500 993 7,673,705 2,376,975 7,758,484 2,273,861 1% -4% 40% 39%8500 - 10000 647 5,993,999 1,857,927 6,045,752 1,848,848 1% 0% 38% 36%10000 - 12500 953 10,431,382 2,976,791 10,529,848 2,983,879 1% 0% 30% 34%12500 - 15000 405 5,486,906 1,826,502 5,353,985 1,833,918 -2% 0% 25% 31%15000 - 17500 290 4,677,135 1,652,297 4,801,717 1,746,113 3% 6% 28% 30%17500 - 20000 120 2,240,690 819,113 2,560,600 904,151 14% 10% 26% 28%20000 - 25000 169 3,710,416 1,361,559 3,901,448 1,387,484 5% 2% 21% 26%25000 - 35000 193 5,572,481 2,564,224 5,671,794 2,549,321 2% -1% 16% 24%35000 - 55000 260 11,340,238 6,379,903 11,398,738 6,524,635 1% 2% 14% 21%55000 + 179 11,890,960 4,148,954 11,554,469 4,007,161 -3% -3% 10% 18%Table 4-6 Volume Group Validation Statistics – MVRPC RegionVolume GroupObserved TrafficEstimated Traffic % ErrorObs. Volume VMT Volume VMT Volume VMT%RMSEMax.%Error0 - 500 310 88,908 92,677 104,620 89,446 18% -3% 178% 200%500 - 1500 716 682,527 481,633 868,225 567,103 27% 18% 110% 100%1500 - 2500 509 1,021,294 484,338 1,142,757 507,889 12% 5% 79% 62%2500 - 3500 440 1,318,749 577,910 1,337,215 582,173 1% 1% 59% 54%3500 - 4500 293 1,152,696 421,479 1,081,441 404,224 -6% -4% 50% 48%4500 - 5500 284 1,406,308 428,883 1,254,620 374,594 -11% -13% 41% 45%5500 - 7000 265 1,624,591 405,326 1,484,688 353,363 -9% -13% 38% 42%7000 - 8500 263 2,008,839 467,960 1,954,505 423,757 -3% -9% 36% 39%8500 - 10000 178 1,655,687 362,063 1,547,219 322,723 -7% -11% 35% 36%10000 - 12500 230 2,543,635 669,563 2,392,630 608,520 -6% -9% 32% 34%12500 - 15000 178 2,416,680 756,996 2,180,604 715,727 -10% -5% 28% 31%15000 - 17500 94 1,500,218 578,571 1,378,055 544,475 -8% -6% 20% 30%17500 - 20000 33 614,152 331,018 616,293 345,152 0% 4% 13% 28%20000 - 25000 33 723,547 563,018 753,343 615,229 4% 9% 19% 26%25000 - 35000 52 1,498,772 1,441,916 1,444,786 1,495,000 -4% 4% 19% 24%35000 - 55000 35 1,547,044 898,465 1,496,318 851,294 -3% -5% 16% 21%55000 + 5 288700 94783 262683 84204.41 -9% -11% 16% 18%Assignment and Validation - Highway Assignment Validation 13