Travel Demand Model - OKI

OKI/MVRPC Travel Demand Model – Version 6.0Table 6-6 Volume Group ValidationObserved Observed Estimated EstimatedVolume Group No. Obs. VMT Volume VMT % Error Volume % Error% RMSE0 - 500 495 156,529 166,967 270,678 73% 319,499 91% 257%500 - 1500 1,751 1,163,297 1,653,757 1,370,103 18% 2,101,925 27% 120%1500 - 2500 1,449 1,518,642 2,816,868 1,639,009 8% 3,229,657 15% 81%2500 - 3500 1,425 2,023,702 4,155,432 1,961,051 -3% 4,194,048 1% 62%3500 - 4500 1,210 1,936,803 4,788,987 1,774,061 -8% 4,748,495 -1% 65%4500 - 5500 1,133 2,071,471 5,616,541 1,937,429 -6% 5,280,053 -6% 49%5500 - 7000 1,241 2,829,157 7,681,096 2,492,065 -12% 7,055,688 -8% 44%7000 - 8500 923 2,151,761 7,063,027 1,891,192 -12% 6,545,555 -7% 39%8500 - 10000 650 1,860,174 5,986,494 1,791,335 -4% 5,812,817 -3% 36%10000 - 12500 800 2,584,188 8,781,026 2,460,354 -5% 8,057,045 -8% 32%12500 - 15000 312 1,419,827 4,213,392 1,373,667 -3% 3,892,228 -8% 28%15000 - 17500 213 1,160,311 3,411,000 1,164,622 0% 3,195,970 -6% 27%17500 - 20000 130 1,184,906 2,409,670 1,279,430 8% 2,498,780 4% 23%20000 - 25000 153 1,012,095 3,365,847 1,048,944 4% 3,343,141 -1% 27%25000 - 35000 157 3,259,063 4,704,674 3,445,332 6% 4,735,953 1% 18%35000 - 55000 144 3,505,113 6,448,828 3,273,580 -7% 6,080,586 -6% 16%55000 + 160 3,843,023 10,679,524 3,650,068 -5% 10,226,219 -4% 13%Table 6-7 Transit Validation, by AgencyObservedEstimated BoardingsAgency Boardings Peak Off-Peak Total % ErrorMETRO 78,099 58,135 43,688 101,823 30%TANK 9,167 11,735 6,028 17,763 94%City of Hamilton 1,000 1,201 1,338 2,539 154%Middletown 905 217 275 492 -46%All Transit 89,171 71,288 51,329 122,617 38%Table 6-8 Transit Validation, by CorridorObservedEstimated BoardingsCorridor Boardings Peak Off Peak Total % ErrorPrice Hill 1 7,861 6,933 4,210 11,143 42%Western Hills 2 12,496 5,870 6,207 12,077 -3%Colerain / Winton 3 11,216 8,824 7,850 16,674 49%Reading / Vine 4 19,982 8,614 8,977 17,591 -12%Montgomery / Madison 5 14,937 14,044 8,570 22,614 51%Eastern 6 1,725 7,333 0 7,333 325%Crosstown 7 9,877 6,532 7,874 14,406 46%Kenton County 8 6,131 6,532 3,555 10,087 65%Campbell County 9 3,037 5,188 2,473 7,661 152%City of Hamilton 10 1,000 1,201 1,338 2,539 154%Middletown 11 905 217 275 492 -46%All OKI Corridors 89,166 71,288 51,329 122,617 38%Assignment and Validation - Appendix A 30