Travel Demand Model - OKI

OKI/MVRPC Travel Demand Model – Version 6.0Table 6-4 Volume Group Validation – by Link VolumeADT Volume Number ofTotal VolumeFrom To Counts Observed Estimated Pct Diff % RMSE0 499 215 65,350 100,880 54.4% 154.2%500 1,499 542 524,022 657,363 25.4% 76.8%1,500 2,499 419 838,691 944,175 12.6% 52.0%2,500 3,499 384 1,145,165 1,321,595 15.4% 48.1%3,500 4,499 255 1,007,291 1,011,061 0.4% 36.2%4,500 5,499 268 1,336,863 1,334,017 -0.2% 27.5%5,500 6,999 250 1,539,100 1,548,539 0.6% 27.6%7,000 8,499 242 1,844,149 1,831,723 -0.7% 31.4%8,500 9,999 183 1,711,934 1,623,080 -5.2% 26.2%10,000 12,499 224 2,469,897 2,413,754 -2.3% 28.7%12,500 15,000 170 2,307,890 2,117,289 -8.3% 23.8%15,000 17,500 97 1,550,002 1,458,083 -5.9% 21.6%17,500 20,000 45 841,729 724,152 -14.0% 23.6%20,000 25,000 39 859,406 777,647 -9.5% 24.8%25,000 35,000 28 844,071 784,064 -7.1% 21.7%35,000 55,000 56 2,373,282 2,403,370 1.3% 18.4%55,000 + 0 0 06.2 OKI Model v54 ValidationTable 6-5 Facility Type ValidationObserved Observed Estimated EstimatedFacility Type No. Obs. VMT Volume VMT % Error Volume % Error % RMSEAll 12,344 33,680,062 83,942,128 32,822,917 -3% 81,316,659 -3% 42%Interstate 1 618 12,775,721 23,976,209 12,857,314 1% 23,798,394 -1% 17%Major Arterial 2 2,378 6,100,331 20,605,732 6,355,923 4% 21,004,462 2% 38%Minor Arterial 3 2,539 5,829,068 15,955,769 5,609,710 -4% 15,365,996 -4% 40%Major Collector 4 4,660 6,234,404 15,514,048 5,296,677 -15% 13,064,520 -16% 58%Minor Collector 5 490 392,741 426,812 304,925 -22% 376,866 -12% 112%Local 6 919 842,488 1,771,208 699,144 -17% 1,522,432 -14% 71%Ramp 8 605 640,271 4,138,308 677,052 6% 4,350,951 5% 58%Expressway 9 135 865,038 1,554,042 1,022,171 18% 1,833,038 18% 42%Assignment and Validation - Appendix A 29