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Impacts on Urban Development7.3.28 The introduction of a new railway can lead to city centre development which couldnot otherwise occur through lack of transport capacity. For'"example, it "is clMbtfOlwhether the expansion of Central District over the past few years could have beensupported without the presence of the Mass Transit Railway and serious questionsmust be raised about the extent of future development on planned reclamationswithout new rail access.7.3.29 New and improved rail lines can undoubtedly spur the development of ...newcommunities in the New Territories by making them more attractive places to,live.'-However, by Integrating the new towns "into the main urban transport system, thechances of developing the new towns as self-contained communities away from theexisting urban centres will be weakened.7.3.30 Development impacts are clearly important and it is desirable that the decision toconstruct a rail project be integrated with the planning and developmentof , r citycentres and new communities.Uncertainty of Future Development7.3.31 The Study used a set of population and employment projections by region formaking traffic forecasts. These were made considering plans for new developmentareas, both in the New Territories and in the urban area. Development plans havechanged substantially in the past even during the course of this Study, and it mustbe expected that they will change again in the future as investigations of developmentpotentials continue. Therefore, it is important to assess the impact of assumptions onnew developments on the outcome of the project evaluations and thus identify thedegree of certainty attached to the evaluation results.Protection from Congestion7.3.32 Without in the least detracting from the efforts to control the growth of trafficcongestion, it must be recognised that this is going to be an increasingly difficulttask over the coming years if the prosperity of the Territory and resulting transportexpectations of the population continue to rise. New rail lines in the urban area offerthe prospect of acceptable travel conditions even when traffic jams block the roads;to this extent, expensive rail lines and unpopular traffic restraint measures can beconsidered as parallel approaches to the urban traffic problem.Implementation Capability7.3.33 The implementation of a complex rail project is a sophisticated exercise and thesuccess of rail projects in some communities has been undermined by basic inabilityto carry through the project to a sound overall plan and time scale. However, HongKong has demonstrated the ability to implement major railway projects to the extentof being counted as a world leader in this field. This is therefore not an issue inHong Kong.7.4 Candidate Railway Projects7.4.1 The new rail projects evaluated by CTS-2 are shown in Figure 7.3. They wereconceived with a variety of different objectives. Some would provide links to theremaining major existing or planned population centres not yet connected to the railsystem. These include the lines to Junk Bay, Tuen Mun, Yuen Long/Tin Shui Wai,IVIa On Shan and Aberdeen. Other lines would provide additional rail capacity forcertain critical rail corridors. These include the urban area cross-harbour links, theKCR main line extension to Tssm Sha Tsui and Sheung Wan, and the Diamond Hillto Sha Tin light rail line.126
NWNT URBAN LINKYuen Long — FanlingNWNT URBAN LINKYuen Long — Tai Wo(can possibly be Heavy Rail)NWNT URBAN LINKTsuen Wan — Yuen Long(can possibly be Light Rail)NWNT URBAN LINKTsuen Wan — Tuen Mun(can possibly be Light Rail)Mong Kok — Tsim Sha Tsui— Sheung VVaniYau Ma Tei — Sheung WanSha Tin — Lai KingSha Tin — Ma On ShanEAST KOWLOON LINEDiamond Hill — Sha Tin(can possibly be Light Rail)EAST KOWLOON 1INERumsey — DiamondJunk Bay ExtensionGreen Island ExtensionEAST KOWLOON LINEAberdeen — Rumsey(can possibly be Light Rail)Aberdeen — Admiralty*"'"ILEGENDHeavy RailLight RailFigure 7.3NEW PASSENGER RAIL LINES
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THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONGLIBRARIE
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EPPrinted and Published by the Gove
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CONTENTSPage6. OF 966.1 Introductio
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Page3.1 Licensed Vehicles 1976-1988
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FIGURES_Page1.1 Special Character o
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Page1.1 Second Comprehensive Transp
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TRANSPORTPER UNIT OF GDPCars Per Th
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KCR Double Tracking &\ Electrificat
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1.2 The Second Comprehensive Transp
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1.2.17 The way in which these recla
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ANNEX1.1Terms of Reference(1) To pr
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2.2.1 introduction2.1.1 This chapte
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2.2: OF THEPROJECTS AND POLICIESFOR
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Transport Networks2.5.2 Description
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2.6.11 Operational Evaluation—The
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3.1GO OLicensed Vehicle Fleets (a]P
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Table 3.3 VEHICLE(Dollars per year)
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3.2.7 The car and motorcycle fleet
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3.2.14 The non-van goods vehicle fl
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3.2.23 Use of Light Vans as Private
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3.3 Road Usage and Road Constructio
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FIGURE 3.11:TRAFFIC IN URBAN HONG K
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FIGURE 3.14:TRAFFIC IN THE NEW TERR
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Table 3.6 CROSS HARBOUR TUNNEL TOLL
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3.5 Public Transport Patronage3.5.1
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3.5.4 The growth in rail transport
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taxi productivity. The average paid
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4.4.1 introduction4.1.1 Demand for
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Table 4.2DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION
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AreaTable 4.4Hong Kong islandKowioo
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4.2.14 An additional 425 000 jobs i
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4.3(1986-2001)Growth Over 1988Perio
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included in the financial costs. Pe
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4.5 International Traffic4.5.1 Proj
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Cross Border Rail Passenger Traffic
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Table 4.17IN(1971-1989)HighwayPrice
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contribution of Government equity t
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5. FORECASTS OF THE TRANSPORT SCENE
Page 78 and 79: FIGURE 5.2:PROJECTED DAILY TRIP MAK
Page 80 and 81: FIGURE 5.3: 1986 GENERATIONS AND AT
Page 82 and 83: FIGURE 5.5: PERSON TRAVEL DEMAND(CO
Page 84 and 85: Table 5.4PROJECTIONS OF DAILY TRIP
Page 86 and 87: Table 5.5 SCHEDULED PUBLIC BY(thous
Page 88 and 89: • FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIRMA ON SHANH
Page 90 and 91: Cars and taxis 1.00Minibus/Special
Page 92 and 93: LEGEND V/C Ratio Range• 1.1 - 1.2
Page 94 and 95: •Vf'rLEGEND V/C Ratio Range> 1.1
Page 96 and 97: FIGURE 5.13:TRAFFIC SPEEDS BY ROAD
Page 98 and 99: 6. OF6.1 Introduction6.1.1 This cha
Page 100 and 101: LEGENDMajor Committed Road ProjectK
Page 102 and 103: LEGENDCandidate Road ProjectKowloon
Page 104 and 105: A V/C ratio of 1.0 or less indicate
Page 106 and 107: Table 6.3 SUMMARY OF HIGHWAY PORJEC
Page 108 and 109: 6.5.1 2 The traffic implications of
Page 110 and 111: 6.5.27 it is estimated that traffic
Page 112 and 113: 6.7 and Airport Tunnel6.7.1 The Hun
Page 114 and 115: 6.9.5 Conclusions— This is likely
Page 116 and 117: 6.4(1988 Prices)ProjectLocFinancial
Page 118 and 119: sufficient detail to permit compute
Page 120 and 121: LEGENDMTR £_EHC LRT(under vL} cons
Page 122 and 123: 7.1Peak TramHong KongTramwaysKowloo
Page 124 and 125: MTR/KCR Interchange7.2.14 A key tra
Page 126 and 127: day, particularly in the peak hour.
Page 130 and 131: 7.4.2 The East Kowloon Line would s
Page 132 and 133: 7.4.1 2 Both the financial return a
Page 134 and 135: 7.5.17 Patronage and economic resul
Page 136 and 137: Rail Operations7.6.15 Two proposals
Page 138 and 139: passenger services. Also, while lig
Page 140 and 141: .S.Bi ne economic evaluation or tne
Page 142 and 143: Conclusions7.9.15 At the projected
Page 144 and 145: 7.11.4 With an extension to Star Fe
Page 146 and 147: 7.13.7 It is estimated that the LRT
Page 148 and 149: Conclusions7.14.13 Both harbour cro
Page 150 and 151: 7.15.14 Financial support for the n
Page 152 and 153: FIGURE 8.1: PASSENGER TRANSPORT BY
Page 154 and 155: Railways8.2.6 Rail services began t
Page 156 and 157: Table 8.2PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SCHED
Page 158 and 159: FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIYUENLONGMA ON SH
Page 160 and 161: severe on the MTR island Line where
Page 162 and 163: 8.4.10 The KCR main Sine is expecte
Page 164 and 165: Cross Harbour Bus Operations8.5.9 T
Page 166 and 167: 8.7.3 In the New Territories, the r
Page 168 and 169: ail corridor is now operating at fu
Page 170 and 171: urban area, the short term means of
Page 172 and 173: (2) More vehicles are required to d
Page 174 and 175: are classified under Vehicle Owners
Page 176 and 177: 9.5.5 Supplementary Licences—Thes
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9.5.19 Controls are required on bot
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Park and Hide9.6.4 This policy prom
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Alternative Scenarios for the Evalu
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9.7.18 Thus although the Centra! ec
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9.3 INNumber of vehs (thous)CarsTax
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Table 9.4ON(Increases in goods vehi
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9.11.3 The specific scheme chosen w
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Table 9.5(Similar to Scheme B inves
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traffic assessments. If the increas
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10 ON10.1 Introduction10.1.1 This c
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10.2.9 There are clearly some possi
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Railway Funding10.3.11 An expenditu
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Private Car Controls10.5.9 It is re
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c:,LEGEND V/C Ratio Range1.1 - 1.2>
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10.6.4 Several roads are projected
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o1991 Committed1996 Recommended Str
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operation and operator. Much depend
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ANNEX 10.1PROJECTIONS OF THE VEHICL
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ANNEX 10.4BY(thousand vehicles per
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TOC
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