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3.2.7 The car and motorcycle fleet declined over a period of five years following the 1982tax measures. The prolonged decline was attributable to several factors: the severityof the 1982 measures, subsequent annual adjustments to licence fees to off-setinflation and the introduction of the private car inspection scheme in 1986 whicheffectively increased the cost of owning and operating a car. At their peaks in 1981,cars and motorcycles represented 72% of the total vehicle fleet; by 1988 this sharehad dropped to 55%.3.2.8 In early 1987, the car fleet started growing again, as shown in Figure 3.4; by the endof 1988, it was increasing at a rate of about 10% per year. The future growth of theprivate car fleet is a key issue in the management of transport demand.3.4: IN186160166160146140136 J. .S I .1 I i ,1, i I 1-8. .|. I i. .j. » i. .1. a i ,s, i.i i. J.L s j.j..4 .g, j i i.. \ ,i jJan Apr Jul Ocf Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Ju( Oct Jan Apr Jut OcfI 1986 I 1986 I 1987 I 19883.2.93.2.103.2.113.2.12The changes in the motorcycle fleet followed those in the private car fleet but theshare taken by motorcycles declined over the period from 14% of the combined fleetin 1976 to 8% in 1988.Car registered light vans grew from almost nothing in 1976 to 10% of the car andmotorcycle fleet by 1982; this share dropped to 6% by 1988. Light vans arediscussed in more detail below.An increasing proportion of the car-registered vehicle fleet was company-owned, asopposed to ownership by a private individual. In 1976, just 3% of all cars werecompany-owned; this proportion had risen to 20% by 1986.Goods VehiclesFor many years, the goods vehicle fleet grew at about the same rate as the economyas measured by the real growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP); the relationshipsince 1961 is shown in Figure 3.5. With the very rapid growth of the economy, thegoods vehicle fleet increased three times between 1976 and 1988 to constitute onethird of the total vehicle fleet In fact by the end of 1988 the goods vehicle fleetappeared to be growing faster than the economy, but it is too early to say whetherthis accelerated growth is a long term trend.34
FIGURE 3.5:GOODS VEHICLE AND GDP GROWTHRelative to 19613 -1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988GDP In Constant Prlcea3.2.13 The changes in the goods vehicle fleet by vehicle class are set out in Table 3.4 andillustrated in Figure 3.6. Much of the growth in goods vehicles was in light vans, asdiscussed in paragraphs 3.2.18 to 3.2.26.FIGURE 3.6:LICENSED GOODS VEHICLES120Thousands (Mid-Year)100-Light Van*Other Light GoodsMedium/Heavy Goods2076 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 86 86 87 88
Page 2 and 3: THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONGLIBRARIE
Page 4 and 5: EPPrinted and Published by the Gove
Page 6 and 7: CONTENTSPage6. OF 966.1 Introductio
Page 8 and 9: Page3.1 Licensed Vehicles 1976-1988
Page 10 and 11: FIGURES_Page1.1 Special Character o
Page 12 and 13: Page1.1 Second Comprehensive Transp
Page 14 and 15: TRANSPORTPER UNIT OF GDPCars Per Th
Page 16 and 17: KCR Double Tracking &\ Electrificat
Page 18 and 19: 1.2 The Second Comprehensive Transp
Page 20 and 21: 1.2.17 The way in which these recla
Page 22 and 23: ANNEX1.1Terms of Reference(1) To pr
Page 24 and 25: 2.2.1 introduction2.1.1 This chapte
Page 26 and 27: 2.2: OF THEPROJECTS AND POLICIESFOR
Page 28 and 29: Transport Networks2.5.2 Description
Page 30 and 31: 2.6.11 Operational Evaluation—The
Page 32 and 33: 3.1GO OLicensed Vehicle Fleets (a]P
Page 34 and 35: Table 3.3 VEHICLE(Dollars per year)
Page 38 and 39: 3.2.14 The non-van goods vehicle fl
Page 40 and 41: 3.2.23 Use of Light Vans as Private
Page 42 and 43: 3.3 Road Usage and Road Constructio
Page 44 and 45: FIGURE 3.11:TRAFFIC IN URBAN HONG K
Page 46 and 47: FIGURE 3.14:TRAFFIC IN THE NEW TERR
Page 48 and 49: Table 3.6 CROSS HARBOUR TUNNEL TOLL
Page 50 and 51: 3.5 Public Transport Patronage3.5.1
Page 52 and 53: 3.5.4 The growth in rail transport
Page 54 and 55: taxi productivity. The average paid
Page 56 and 57: 4.4.1 introduction4.1.1 Demand for
Page 58 and 59: Table 4.2DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION
Page 60 and 61: AreaTable 4.4Hong Kong islandKowioo
Page 62 and 63: 4.2.14 An additional 425 000 jobs i
Page 64 and 65: 4.3(1986-2001)Growth Over 1988Perio
Page 66 and 67: included in the financial costs. Pe
Page 68 and 69: 4.5 International Traffic4.5.1 Proj
Page 70 and 71: Cross Border Rail Passenger Traffic
Page 72 and 73: Table 4.17IN(1971-1989)HighwayPrice
Page 74 and 75: contribution of Government equity t
Page 76 and 77: 5. FORECASTS OF THE TRANSPORT SCENE
Page 78 and 79: FIGURE 5.2:PROJECTED DAILY TRIP MAK
Page 80 and 81: FIGURE 5.3: 1986 GENERATIONS AND AT
Page 82 and 83: FIGURE 5.5: PERSON TRAVEL DEMAND(CO
Page 84 and 85: Table 5.4PROJECTIONS OF DAILY TRIP
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Table 5.5 SCHEDULED PUBLIC BY(thous
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• FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIRMA ON SHANH
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Cars and taxis 1.00Minibus/Special
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LEGEND V/C Ratio Range• 1.1 - 1.2
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•Vf'rLEGEND V/C Ratio Range> 1.1
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FIGURE 5.13:TRAFFIC SPEEDS BY ROAD
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6. OF6.1 Introduction6.1.1 This cha
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LEGENDMajor Committed Road ProjectK
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LEGENDCandidate Road ProjectKowloon
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A V/C ratio of 1.0 or less indicate
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Table 6.3 SUMMARY OF HIGHWAY PORJEC
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6.5.1 2 The traffic implications of
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6.5.27 it is estimated that traffic
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6.7 and Airport Tunnel6.7.1 The Hun
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6.9.5 Conclusions— This is likely
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6.4(1988 Prices)ProjectLocFinancial
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sufficient detail to permit compute
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LEGENDMTR £_EHC LRT(under vL} cons
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7.1Peak TramHong KongTramwaysKowloo
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MTR/KCR Interchange7.2.14 A key tra
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day, particularly in the peak hour.
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Impacts on Urban Development7.3.28
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7.4.2 The East Kowloon Line would s
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7.4.1 2 Both the financial return a
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7.5.17 Patronage and economic resul
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Rail Operations7.6.15 Two proposals
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passenger services. Also, while lig
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.S.Bi ne economic evaluation or tne
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Conclusions7.9.15 At the projected
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7.11.4 With an extension to Star Fe
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7.13.7 It is estimated that the LRT
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Conclusions7.14.13 Both harbour cro
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7.15.14 Financial support for the n
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FIGURE 8.1: PASSENGER TRANSPORT BY
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Railways8.2.6 Rail services began t
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Table 8.2PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SCHED
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FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIYUENLONGMA ON SH
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severe on the MTR island Line where
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8.4.10 The KCR main Sine is expecte
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Cross Harbour Bus Operations8.5.9 T
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8.7.3 In the New Territories, the r
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ail corridor is now operating at fu
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urban area, the short term means of
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(2) More vehicles are required to d
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are classified under Vehicle Owners
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9.5.5 Supplementary Licences—Thes
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9.5.19 Controls are required on bot
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Park and Hide9.6.4 This policy prom
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Alternative Scenarios for the Evalu
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9.7.18 Thus although the Centra! ec
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9.3 INNumber of vehs (thous)CarsTax
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Table 9.4ON(Increases in goods vehi
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9.11.3 The specific scheme chosen w
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Table 9.5(Similar to Scheme B inves
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traffic assessments. If the increas
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10 ON10.1 Introduction10.1.1 This c
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10.2.9 There are clearly some possi
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Railway Funding10.3.11 An expenditu
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Private Car Controls10.5.9 It is re
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c:,LEGEND V/C Ratio Range1.1 - 1.2>
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10.6.4 Several roads are projected
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o1991 Committed1996 Recommended Str
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operation and operator. Much depend
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ANNEX 10.1PROJECTIONS OF THE VEHICL
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ANNEX 10.4BY(thousand vehicles per
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TOC
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