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Table 8.2PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SCHEDULED PUBLICTRANSPORT BY AREA(excluding Taxi and SPB)AreaTrips Per Day 11986 1996(thousands)Growth86-96Hong Kong IslandInternal (North shore)Internal (other)6772318063271.?%42%"Total Internal Hong Kong9081 13325%Cross HarbourHK—Urban KowloonHK—North-east NTHK—North-west NT1 086103411 52223510340%1 28%151%Total Cross-Harbour1 2301 86051%Kowloon and Jsuen Wan (Urban)Internal26222318-12%Urban—New Territories 2Urban—North-east NT (exclude Junk Bay)Urban—Junk BayUrban—North-west NT5011521677916933155%1 027%53%Total Urban—New Territories7321 27975%New Territories 3Internal North-eastInternal North-westInternal other197160216429494213118%209gTotal New Territories5731 13698%Grand Total6065772627%Note'. 1996 estimates assume recommended CTS-2 highways and railways1 Trips, not boardings2 Urban includes Kowloon and Tsuen Wan3 New Territories exclude Tsuen Wan154
8.3.4 The impact of this growth in demand for travel is shown in Table 8.3 for 1996 interms of the passengers travelling along certain key corridors. The locations selectedare based on the standard screenlines used in Annual Traffic Census carried out byTransport Department and illustrated in Figure 8.3.8.3(passengers per day)Location1986 1996^Volume % Rail % Ferry Volume % Rail(thous)(thous)% FerryGrowth86-96Hong Kong Island (F-F)Cross-harbourUrban Kowioon (C-C)7501 2101 54165%49%49%22%8991 919207771%63%65%15%20%59%35%Kowloon to New Territories:Kwas Chung CorridorSha Tin Corridor 2Junk Bay Corridor8535864343%42%1 0891 06627763%47%52%28%82%544%North-west NT (S-S)25257142%127%North-east'NT (T-T)21955%39261%79%Note: For screenline locations, see Figure 8.21 Assumes CTS-2 recommended highway and railway programme2 Corridor includes, Tai Po Road, Lion Rock Tunnel and Tate's Cairn Tunnel8.3.5 The lowest growth is projected for the urban area on Hong Kong Island with only20% growth; this low growth is primarily a result of the opening of the EasternHarbour Crossing which should divert some travel from the existing Cross Harbourtunnel and reduce the growth in flows across the screenline F-F. Cross harbourtravel is forecast to increase by 59%, mainly as a result of the land use changesdiscussed above but also influenced by the third rail harbour crossing assumedbetween Yau Ma Tes and Fortress. MTR is expected to carry 63% of all cross harbourtraffic in 1996, while ferry declines from 22% to 1 5%.8.3.6 The Sha Tin corridor comprises, Tai Po Road, and the Lion Rock and Tate's Cairntunnels; this group of roads intercepts all traffic between the North-east NewTerritories and the urban area. The forecast increase of 82% in traffic is in line withthe population changes assumed. The proportion using rail (KCR) is relatively low at47%, due to strong competition from tunnel buses which offer more direct serviceto many locations; most KCR passengers would need to change to the MTR tocomplete their journey.8.3.7 The largest growth in traffic is attributed to the planned expansion of the new towns.The number of people travelling each day between Junk Bay and urban Kowloon isforecast at 277 000, of which 52% would use the MTR. The projected growth acrossthe North-west New Territories screenline is caused by the developments at TuenMun, Yuen Long and Tin Shui Was; population there is expected to double between1986 and 1996. The very strong growth in traffic to and from the North-west NewTerritories is linked to the influence of the recommended rail urban link betweenTsuen Wan and Yuen Long. The growth in the North-east New Territories wouldarise from the development at Sheung Shui and a forecast increase in internationalcross-border rail traffic.155
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THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONGLIBRARIE
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EPPrinted and Published by the Gove
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CONTENTSPage6. OF 966.1 Introductio
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Page3.1 Licensed Vehicles 1976-1988
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FIGURES_Page1.1 Special Character o
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Page1.1 Second Comprehensive Transp
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TRANSPORTPER UNIT OF GDPCars Per Th
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KCR Double Tracking &\ Electrificat
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1.2 The Second Comprehensive Transp
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1.2.17 The way in which these recla
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ANNEX1.1Terms of Reference(1) To pr
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2.2.1 introduction2.1.1 This chapte
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2.2: OF THEPROJECTS AND POLICIESFOR
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Transport Networks2.5.2 Description
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2.6.11 Operational Evaluation—The
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3.1GO OLicensed Vehicle Fleets (a]P
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Table 3.3 VEHICLE(Dollars per year)
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3.2.7 The car and motorcycle fleet
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3.2.14 The non-van goods vehicle fl
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3.2.23 Use of Light Vans as Private
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3.3 Road Usage and Road Constructio
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FIGURE 3.11:TRAFFIC IN URBAN HONG K
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FIGURE 3.14:TRAFFIC IN THE NEW TERR
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Table 3.6 CROSS HARBOUR TUNNEL TOLL
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3.5 Public Transport Patronage3.5.1
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3.5.4 The growth in rail transport
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taxi productivity. The average paid
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4.4.1 introduction4.1.1 Demand for
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Table 4.2DISTRIBUTION OF POPULATION
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AreaTable 4.4Hong Kong islandKowioo
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4.2.14 An additional 425 000 jobs i
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4.3(1986-2001)Growth Over 1988Perio
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included in the financial costs. Pe
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4.5 International Traffic4.5.1 Proj
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Cross Border Rail Passenger Traffic
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Table 4.17IN(1971-1989)HighwayPrice
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contribution of Government equity t
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5. FORECASTS OF THE TRANSPORT SCENE
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FIGURE 5.2:PROJECTED DAILY TRIP MAK
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FIGURE 5.3: 1986 GENERATIONS AND AT
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FIGURE 5.5: PERSON TRAVEL DEMAND(CO
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Table 5.4PROJECTIONS OF DAILY TRIP
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Table 5.5 SCHEDULED PUBLIC BY(thous
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• FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIRMA ON SHANH
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Cars and taxis 1.00Minibus/Special
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LEGEND V/C Ratio Range• 1.1 - 1.2
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•Vf'rLEGEND V/C Ratio Range> 1.1
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FIGURE 5.13:TRAFFIC SPEEDS BY ROAD
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6. OF6.1 Introduction6.1.1 This cha
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LEGENDMajor Committed Road ProjectK
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LEGENDCandidate Road ProjectKowloon
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A V/C ratio of 1.0 or less indicate
Page 106 and 107: Table 6.3 SUMMARY OF HIGHWAY PORJEC
Page 108 and 109: 6.5.1 2 The traffic implications of
Page 110 and 111: 6.5.27 it is estimated that traffic
Page 112 and 113: 6.7 and Airport Tunnel6.7.1 The Hun
Page 114 and 115: 6.9.5 Conclusions— This is likely
Page 116 and 117: 6.4(1988 Prices)ProjectLocFinancial
Page 118 and 119: sufficient detail to permit compute
Page 120 and 121: LEGENDMTR £_EHC LRT(under vL} cons
Page 122 and 123: 7.1Peak TramHong KongTramwaysKowloo
Page 124 and 125: MTR/KCR Interchange7.2.14 A key tra
Page 126 and 127: day, particularly in the peak hour.
Page 128 and 129: Impacts on Urban Development7.3.28
Page 130 and 131: 7.4.2 The East Kowloon Line would s
Page 132 and 133: 7.4.1 2 Both the financial return a
Page 134 and 135: 7.5.17 Patronage and economic resul
Page 136 and 137: Rail Operations7.6.15 Two proposals
Page 138 and 139: passenger services. Also, while lig
Page 140 and 141: .S.Bi ne economic evaluation or tne
Page 142 and 143: Conclusions7.9.15 At the projected
Page 144 and 145: 7.11.4 With an extension to Star Fe
Page 146 and 147: 7.13.7 It is estimated that the LRT
Page 148 and 149: Conclusions7.14.13 Both harbour cro
Page 150 and 151: 7.15.14 Financial support for the n
Page 152 and 153: FIGURE 8.1: PASSENGER TRANSPORT BY
Page 154 and 155: Railways8.2.6 Rail services began t
Page 158 and 159: FANLING/SHEUNG SHUIYUENLONGMA ON SH
Page 160 and 161: severe on the MTR island Line where
Page 162 and 163: 8.4.10 The KCR main Sine is expecte
Page 164 and 165: Cross Harbour Bus Operations8.5.9 T
Page 166 and 167: 8.7.3 In the New Territories, the r
Page 168 and 169: ail corridor is now operating at fu
Page 170 and 171: urban area, the short term means of
Page 172 and 173: (2) More vehicles are required to d
Page 174 and 175: are classified under Vehicle Owners
Page 176 and 177: 9.5.5 Supplementary Licences—Thes
Page 178 and 179: 9.5.19 Controls are required on bot
Page 180 and 181: Park and Hide9.6.4 This policy prom
Page 182 and 183: Alternative Scenarios for the Evalu
Page 184 and 185: 9.7.18 Thus although the Centra! ec
Page 186 and 187: 9.3 INNumber of vehs (thous)CarsTax
Page 188 and 189: Table 9.4ON(Increases in goods vehi
Page 190 and 191: 9.11.3 The specific scheme chosen w
Page 192 and 193: Table 9.5(Similar to Scheme B inves
Page 194 and 195: traffic assessments. If the increas
Page 196 and 197: 10 ON10.1 Introduction10.1.1 This c
Page 198 and 199: 10.2.9 There are clearly some possi
Page 200 and 201: Railway Funding10.3.11 An expenditu
Page 202 and 203: Private Car Controls10.5.9 It is re
Page 204 and 205: c:,LEGEND V/C Ratio Range1.1 - 1.2>
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10.6.4 Several roads are projected
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o1991 Committed1996 Recommended Str
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operation and operator. Much depend
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ANNEX 10.1PROJECTIONS OF THE VEHICL
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ANNEX 10.4BY(thousand vehicles per
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TOC
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